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Forum: Probability 12-25-2005, 03:12 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 15
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: ODDs math question

if you look more closely at mike's answer it has everything you need...
Forum: Internet Gambling 12-25-2005, 03:06 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 20
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Long-term profit is unattainable at online poker.

whoa buddy, be like the top pros: avoid house run poker games completely:

referring to casino poker games:
"The top poker players in the world do not sit in on these games. The top poker players...
Forum: Internet Gambling 12-25-2005, 02:43 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 20
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Long-term profit is unattainable at online poker.

I'm pretty sure this is all the result of one terrible bad beat that scarred the guy for life:

in the neighborhood article:

"Even if you think that you are a better card player than most in...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 12-22-2005, 07:38 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Trip report... first timer in AC (long)

yeah... this is where the "first timer" part comes in. 2.75 fee!
Forum: Brick and Mortar 12-22-2005, 05:07 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 11
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Borgata brat needs alternatives

last night there was no pink chip game, although it had been spread the previous two nights and from what I heard it was as loose as ever.
Forum: Brick and Mortar 12-22-2005, 11:55 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 25
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Do Online Players Going B&M Have a Lot of Tells?

I just played my first live game (4/8) and honestly tells couldn't have been any less relevant. At the loosest point in the game my neighbor and I would literally discuss our winning hands while...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 12-22-2005, 11:45 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By MagicFlea
Trip report... first timer in AC (long)

so I'm home for christmas break (I'm 21 and a senior in college), I'm getting pretty bored with online poker already (this is my main impediment to making a lot of money playing online), and I've had...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-21-2005, 05:28 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By MagicFlea
Adjusting my play -- PP 2/4 to AC live 4/8

I'm going down to atlantic city tomorrow to play some poker in a casino for the first time... I plan on bringing 300 bucks and seeing what happens. How should I expect to adjust my play to maximize...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-21-2005, 12:56 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 13
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: What should I do for a living?

well its too late for next year although its certainly something I'm going to be thinking about... I kinda wanted to get away from school for a couple years
Forum: Probability 12-21-2005, 12:54 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 18
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Math Degrees and Careers

as far as undergrad degrees...

1. Mathematics
2. Physics
3. Applied Mathematics
(in the sense of skill, not knowledge) 4. computer science
(very distant) 5. economics

as for jobs... I'd be...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-21-2005, 12:44 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 13
Posted By MagicFlea
What should I do for a living?

I figure there's a lot of smart people here.

I am looking for an interesting job. Not necessarily a career, mind you, and not necessarily the highest paying job either. Here is some info

I...
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 04:31 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 16
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Help me With Pot Odds.

why are we assuming he doesn't hold a pair?
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 10:48 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: my math must be flawed, cuz this doesnt sound right

it should be 10 * C(4,2) / c(52,2) = minus a miniscule factor accounting for multiple rockets... 4.5 %
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 10:42 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 13
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Flush Over Flush

really all you're asking is what are the odds that someone has two cards in a specific suit, since everyone saw the flop, or at least presumable everyone who was dealt a suited hand. so with 47...
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 10:38 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 13
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: easy probability question

(1/3) * (2/3)^3 * 4 = 32/81

first, consider the first die coming up 3 or 4 and the rest coming up not... then multiply by four to account for other possibilities.
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 10:33 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Help Calculating The Odds on this Roulete Bet

quite simply there is no strategy of play for any -EV game that results in anything other than losing all of your money in the long run. Roulette is such a game.

if you persist in putting money...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-12-2005, 06:01 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 5
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Fold to river bet optimal value at 2/4-5/10

mine at 2/4 is 46%, but here are three facts that you can take as you will:

1) My winrate is absurdly high (probably at least 3x what it should be)
2) because I only have 4,500 hands
3) I really...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-07-2005, 03:21 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 10
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: AK, opponent wierd line

lets say we call the turn cr then the river is a scary J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif... how bad is folding the river?
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-01-2005, 08:33 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 35
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Devastating 30 BB hand

points well taken! this all fits with my gut reaction after I folded ("what the hell am I doing here"), but finding out MHWHBG just sent me spinning.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-01-2005, 06:19 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 35
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Devastating 30 BB hand

alright... I can see that. when i folded I was so sure I totally goofed the turn by raising... then the river action came

CO calls, shows AJo, BB shows 92s and AJo takes $120

my hand was good...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-01-2005, 06:01 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 35
Posted By MagicFlea
Re: Devastating 30 BB hand

I am getting 14-1 or better every time it comes to me... among those 6 aces and queens, you don't think I have a 50% chance to win if I hit one?

people could be betting like that with: an...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-01-2005, 05:54 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 35
Posted By MagicFlea
Devastating 30 BB hand

I just sit down to get in some 3 tabling at 2/4... within 5 minutes I'm suddenly in three massive pots with mediocre holdings. The result on this is unbelievable... I don't claim to have played it...
Forum: Computer Technical Help 11-30-2005, 07:42 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 8
Posted By MagicFlea
screwing around with the PT database/hand histories

I'm interested in aspects of my play that the pokertracker filters don't account for (specifically EV for certain plays in certain scenarios)... I've got a good head for writing code in general but...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 11-29-2005, 03:22 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 24
Posted By MagicFlea
Anectodal evidence: party poker is rigged

I quit playing PP 2/4 last spring after 8BB/100 over 3000 hands slowly and painfully turned into 0BB/100 over 25,000 hands... anyway picked it up again yesterday after playing some good casino games...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 10-31-2005, 02:58 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By MagicFlea
Easing back in: when to let go?

took a while off as my summer plans didn't leave room for poker. I'm easing back in playing PP 2/4 one table at a time and I'm doing ok... here's a basic hand just to make sure I'm not forgetting my...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 128

 
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