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Search: Posts Made By: BruceZ
Forum: Probability 12-31-2005, 01:17 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 6,892
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Can you beat this game?

[ QUOTE ]
If I'm reading your rules correctly, then all you have to do to beat the game is place your original bet.

There are 3 face cards in 27 different combinations. 8 times in 27, you'll get...
Forum: Probability 12-31-2005, 04:59 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 351
Posted By BruceZ
Re: probability of getting flush with suited hand

[ QUOTE ]
Hey,

I'm just wondering, when you use C(39,2), C(39,1), etc on your three examples, what is the reasons for using those numbers?

[/ QUOTE ]

There are 39 non-flush cards and 11...
Forum: Probability 12-31-2005, 04:06 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 603
Posted By BruceZ
Re: probability of hands clashing....

[ QUOTE ]
Sheesh, thanks guys. I thought it was astronimcal, but I didn't realize that it was THAT astronomical lol.

[/ QUOTE ]

Keep in mind that's heads-up. At a 10-player table it will be...
Forum: Probability 12-31-2005, 02:57 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 603
Posted By BruceZ
Re: probability of hands clashing....

[ QUOTE ]
At the risk of BruceZ taking me to school for bad calculations /images/graemlins/smile.gif I'll give this a shot.

The chances of two players with pocket pairs (any pocket pairs not of...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 09:42 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 297
Posted By BruceZ
Re: AA vs KK Heads up

[ QUOTE ]
There are 6 ways to get AA out of 1,326 possible pocket cards. Given that has happened, there are 6 ways to get KK out of 1,125 pocket cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

6 ways to get KK out of...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 09:39 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 297
Posted By BruceZ
Re: AA vs KK Heads up

[ QUOTE ]
Seems like your answer told me the probability of AA and KK being dealt out in a Heads up game instead of what the odds are that my opponent have KK when I have AA.

[/ QUOTE ]

He...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 06:41 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 258
Posted By BruceZ
Re: How many expected unique cards in 52 of 6 decks? (edited)

[ QUOTE ]
6 decks of 52 cards are shuffled together randomly. How many UNIQUE
cards (i.e. rank and suit) would you then expect in the first 52 dealt?

9 is the minimum, and 52 is the maximum....
Forum: Poker Theory 12-30-2005, 05:56 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 444
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
The probability forum would help you out better.

Here is a link to some helpful stats (http://www.learn-texas-holdem.com/texas-holdem-odds-probabilities.htm)

[/ QUOTE ]

That...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 05:52 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 262
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Couple questions about odds to flop made hands or 8+out draws

[ QUOTE ]
I know I've seen a chart before that has what I'm looking for, unfortunately I don't know what book to look in and I've loaned a few out so I may not even have it.
What I'm trying to find...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 05:37 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 476
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Bankroll formulas with hourly rate and standard deviation

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure if this is the right forum for this topic or not, but it seems closest to what I'm looking for.

After over a year of playing poker online for stakes that were too high for...
Forum: Probability 12-30-2005, 12:26 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 431
Posted By BruceZ
Re: AK probability of 4 card draw

[ QUOTE ]
am i right here holding JT (suited or not) flopping a 8 out open end straight is 7.21%

[/ QUOTE ]

No, it's 9.6%...
Forum: Probability 12-29-2005, 10:42 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 411
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Yahtzee Texas Holdem

[ QUOTE ]
that should be C(20,7) not C(20,5) since you get 7 dice to make a hand with shouldn't it?

[/ QUOTE ]

You're correct. I was only considering 5 dice hands, as in the original...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-29-2005, 09:53 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 444
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Calculating the odds of hitting a hand on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
I'm would be grateful if someone could point me in the right direction on how to make calculations on the probability a hand will hit on the flop.
For example suppose a player in early...
Forum: Probability 12-29-2005, 05:53 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 411
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Yahtzee Texas Holdem

Cool, Hold'em Yahtzee.

[ QUOTE ]
You auto win the game if you get a 'Yahtzee Flush'. Five dice of the same number and suit. Can anyone work out the odds of getting one?

[/ QUOTE ]

number of...
Forum: Probability 12-25-2005, 09:29 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 166
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Huh ?

[ QUOTE ]
A 3BB/100 win rate with a SD of EIGHTY BIG BETS PER 100 HANDS ?To answer your question . . .

There is no realistic chance that a 3BB/100 winner could ever go through 2,500 big bets even...
Forum: Probability 12-21-2005, 12:35 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 206
Posted By BruceZ
Re: What is the expectation of this game?

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like 8 possible outcomes, each equally likely. You are betting on coin flips, for all intents and purposes. The outcomes are distributed as follows:

-30 (1, -30)
-10 (3, -30)...
Forum: Probability 12-10-2005, 12:04 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 164
Posted By BruceZ
no

[ QUOTE ]
bruze how do i go about and bring up all your math posts?

[/ QUOTE ]

Use the search function. The one on this page only gives the posts for the last few months, so for older posts,...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 12-08-2005, 10:09 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 375
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Infinite multiplication

[ QUOTE ]
I wrote a perl script (before I saw your anwer), and it didn't seem to converge.

[/ QUOTE ]

This shows that it is converging. Convergence means that it gets closer and closer to...
Forum: Probability 12-08-2005, 02:19 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 245
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Theoretical stats question re standard deviation

[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for the response Bruce. Can you just explain the formula sqrt(0.25*2^2 + 0.75*0^2 - 0.5^2)?

[/ QUOTE ]

0.25*2^2 + 0.75*0^2 is E(x^2), the expected value of the square of the...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 12-08-2005, 01:48 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 375
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Infinite multiplication

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If the numbers in your sequence go to 1 quickly enough, then M can be non-zero

[/ QUOTE ]

But your number is always less than 1 and every multiplication will lower it...
Forum: Probability 12-08-2005, 03:20 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 205
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Probability Question

[ QUOTE ]
You shuffle a deck of 52 cards and start dealing off the top.

a. How many cards should you expect to turn over before you get to the second ace?

[/ QUOTE ]

Consider the 4 aces...
Forum: Probability 12-07-2005, 09:22 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 245
Posted By BruceZ
Re: Theoretical stats question re standard deviation

[ QUOTE ]
Say I offer you a coin flipping game, and you profit 1 if you flip heads, and 0 if you flip tails. Your expected win is .5, and the standard deviation is .5 (I think I am right so far).
...
Forum: Probability 12-06-2005, 03:31 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 589
Posted By BruceZ
Re: RoR -- What % loss before double?

I corrected an error in my computation of the mean fractional loss. Since P(f) is actually the probability of losing f or more, we need the density function -P'(f) to compute the expected value of...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-06-2005, 01:15 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 274
Posted By BruceZ
Re: This guy is good at bowling

[ QUOTE ]
I actually did this once. I was unaware that there is some sort of lubrication on the lanes. I got filthy.

[/ QUOTE ]

The oil pattern is a primary aspect of the game nowadays as...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-06-2005, 01:11 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 274
Posted By BruceZ
Re: This guy is good at bowling

[ QUOTE ]
Video (http://m90.org/index.php?id=9524)

[/ QUOTE ]

That's Mike Machuga (http://pba.com/players/singlebio.asp?ID=141#stats). He won that tournament. It was his first PBA...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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