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Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-20-2005, 03:04 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 300
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Embarrassing Bellagio trip report ($10-$20 NL) 5 hands to discuss

On the QQ set, I'd seriously consider check-raising the river. If you can get him thinking you're scared of the 3, I think he might try bluffing at it again. Or may a weak-ish river bet like 1/3 pot....
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-20-2005, 02:59 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 300
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Embarrassing Bellagio trip report ($10-$20 NL) 5 hands to discuss

Hmmm... don't like the KJs at all. The QQ set is also interesting. I think a call is in order here. Sounds like it was too soon for you to have a really good read on him, but it looks a lot like he...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-20-2005, 02:42 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 613
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: This line probably sucks, but I hate leading and folding to a raise

I think this is a great spot to lead/fold. If he has AK, you win a decent pot, if he doesn't, you're just behind and lose, but not a lot.

Lead/fold also sets up lead/re-raise on a set very nicely....
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-20-2005, 02:35 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 198
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Full House on the button vs PF raiser, easy stack right?

Hmmm... well, if he's unknown to you, then you're unknown to him. I think I'd take my chances with popping it to maybe $400. Oh, by the way, I definitely like the PF flat call.

AK and AQ each have...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-19-2005, 05:15 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 97
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Is this game +EV/-EV???

Hmmmm... I generally figure 20 BB/100 (including rake) is crushing a game, 10 BB/100 is doing pretty well. You play around 100 hands in 3 hours. So, at a 1/2, 20 BB/100 translates to $13 per hour, 10...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-19-2005, 02:35 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 91
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Mathematical models

Here's a link to a first draft. In the meantime, I've finished my definition of value, and hopefully that will be available on the web soon. This gets most of the machinery needed out of the way, but...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-17-2005, 05:46 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 91
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Mathematical models

Hmmmm... that's sort of what I'm trying to do, but in a sense less ambitious. Let's say we're sitting at a table with 9 players. Each has a PSF given. Now, given the PSFs of everyone else, you could...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-16-2005, 04:58 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 91
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Mathematical models

Yeah, that's what kept coming up on that link the first guy gave. It looks like they're the closest, although they're doing it more from an AI standpoint--which has lots of overlaps with what I'm...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-16-2005, 07:51 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 91
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Mathematical models

Hey, thx! I'll check those out and see if there's anything similar.

Actually, I'd also be more than happy to post the model, but it's already 35 pages single-spaced in a Word file including LOTS...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-16-2005, 01:57 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 91
Posted By Aisthesis
Mathematical models

I've been messing around lately trying to develop a very explicit model of NLHE (simply because that's the game I play) as a stochastic process and just wondered if anyone knew of anything already...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 08-08-2005, 10:37 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 161
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: 2/4 KK Ace falls on river.

I really agree with you here, Ryan, but I see them do it all the time. More typical would be a QQ flat call, but I think if you make it $200, you're in too deep to give him credit for AA. I just...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 08-08-2005, 10:22 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 161
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: 2/4 KK Ace falls on river.

I think there are several ways to play this hand.

1) This guy is by my standards a pretty loose raiser, so I don't object to making it something like $200 PF with the intention of calling an...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 08-08-2005, 09:48 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 128
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: The Nuts and a tough 2/4 river decision

Well, the only reason I would have probably just flat called that particular flop (as you did) rather than making a strong raise as continuation bet/semi-bluff was the possibility that SB might have...
Forum: Beginners Questions 07-28-2005, 03:15 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 44
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Harrington on 22

Very good points, which I think also point in the tournament direction. I at least find this kind of PF aggression much more common in tournaments than in cash games, where a re-raise usually does...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 07-27-2005, 02:01 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 132
Posted By Aisthesis
Interesting quote

Actually, I think we're both wrong regarding Aristotlelian views. It looks like he did see a difference in speed due to the medium, but he also did think heavier bodies fall faster:

(Physics IV 8,...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 07-27-2005, 01:51 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 132
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Any Aristotle Fans out There?

Do you know where he said this? I'm assuming it's somewhere in his Physics (rough direction would be sufficient for me to look it up, not necessarily an exact spot, although it you have that, better...
Forum: Beginners Questions 07-27-2005, 01:24 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 44
Posted By Aisthesis
Harrington on 22

I've been reading back and forth in Harrington's 2-volumes and ran across one note that I found rather shocking--namely not playing 22 to a raise.

I should perhaps add that I'm playing mainly cash...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 05-06-2005, 04:17 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 41
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Trouble with late game aggressiveness

No way to limp here for sure. I absolutely HATE getting down that far relative to the blinds, too. So, first (I will say that I only play on Stars, so I don't know how these things go), it would have...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 05-05-2005, 05:43 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 41
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Heads up with a 4-1 chiplead, what would you do?

In this case, absolutely no question on your move.

Where I think it becomes slightly interesting is against an opponent whom I assess as too tight HU--i.e., he likely has a strong A, at worst KQ,...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 05-05-2005, 05:29 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 63
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: preflop with KQs

Yes, I really think you make the most important points here. These really can't be good players, all limping with the blinds at that level. I think you should have enough time (although not a whole...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 05-05-2005, 02:50 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 63
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: preflop with KQs

That's a weird one. I actually think I'd fold. It seems to me like you're effectively doing the same thing as pushing with KQs UTG at this table, and it just wouldn't be a strong enough hand for me...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 05-05-2005, 02:24 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 47
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: couple of decisions for discussion

What I don't like about this move is that you give your opponents some very favorable implied odds: You have AQ and put in 600. Ok, now you're pot committed. Let's say a big stack in LP is sitting on...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-26-2004, 06:27 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 128
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Approximate general solution

Thanks for taking a look at this, Jerrod!

I'll see if I can find the link mentioned and post if I can locate it. Anyhow, when you get back and if you have the time and inclination sometime, I'd be...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-24-2004, 08:06 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 128
Posted By Aisthesis
Re: Approximate general solution

Cool! Thanks for the encouragement! I know when I got off on one of my math binges, it can get a bit difficult to follow (particularly since I'm often struggling myself).

I do hope the "curve" is...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-24-2004, 10:10 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 128
Posted By Aisthesis
Approximate general solution

In the game with $1 dead money and $5 stacks, I made the following simplifying assumption:

If A (UTG) moves in at a, then anyone at the table will call the all-in with the top half of A's raising...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 222

 
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