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Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 11-12-2005, 04:29 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Death Penalty Article

[ QUOTE ]

EDIT: OK, wow, now I'm starting to doubt myself (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_dilemma). WTF, if switching is correct I don't know how many things I must have wrong.

[/...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 11-11-2005, 11:23 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Death Penalty Article

[ QUOTE ]
I wouldnt like to be a part of any "twoplustwo thinktank". I come here to learn and discuss poker related subjects. Not to be bunched up with some death pentalty advocate.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 11-11-2005, 11:20 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Death Penalty Article

All I have to say about this is if you want to get an idea about how widespread ignorance and misunderstanding of basic probability theory is, just check out the Monty Hall Dilemma...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 11-11-2005, 11:14 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Death Penalty Article

[ QUOTE ]
Because juries are already expected to make decisions beyond a "reasonable doubt", an imprecise term that they are given some help with. Similarly for a new term like shadow of a doubt. ...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 11-11-2005, 11:04 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Death Penalty Article

[ QUOTE ]

i think this is asign of his increasing instability. not a joke but a serious comment. the fact that virtually every sentence is an an insult to rational argument is beside the point. ...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-11-2005, 10:52 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Playing Poker Stars Satellites

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
My thoughts are if I have slightly more than 1000 chips near the end of the rebuy period, you can do one of two things.

1) Huck your chips in the middle and hope to double...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-11-2005, 05:11 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 20
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge**

I will buck the trend and say my boy Adanthar has the best of it. I have my reasons, and they go beyond mere nepotism. If you want to know why, do 2 things:

1) Look at the payout structure for...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-11-2005, 12:42 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Brief Vegas appearance this coming Monday (OT)

I'll be heading to Vegas for a deposition defense on Monday. Will probably hit a low blind no-limit ring game for a little while in the evening. Will anyone be in town?
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-10-2005, 07:00 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: how often can you win (general theory ?)

[ QUOTE ]

so if there 50 people left, and you're average, and you're a 100% ROI player, that means your 2x as good average, so you could probaly estimate that you'd win 1/25 times.

[/ QUOTE ]...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-10-2005, 06:56 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Doubling up early MORE than doubles the ROI of a winning player

[ QUOTE ]

Maybe there is some flaw here in my reasoning, and maybe expected winnings is really the important thing, not ROI. Iíll leave it to others to tear apart.

[/ QUOTE ]

The first...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-09-2005, 07:51 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Dealing with the damn flop min-raise.

I'm more inclined to fold flop minraises than most people seem to be. I find that more often than not, it's a good hand trying to sweeten the pot. Other times it's something like middle pair or a...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-08-2005, 05:06 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: 180 player SNG all day long now!

Man, this is awesome. What a great idea. Finally a chance to play MTTs without having to make such a huge time commitment.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:34 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Thats not a Knife....THIS is a Knife

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like one of them has either JQ or a set.

[/ QUOTE ]

Set is not very likely considering hero has 2-pair. Only 5 possible hands make a set here. QJ is more likely, but so are...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:25 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: You got a pair?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Nh.

[/ QUOTE ]

note that Hero folded here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:22 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:17 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Is it right to call a flush draw here?

No, fold. Replace the 2 with an ace and, yep, still fold. You have a player yet to act behind you, so your equity is less than it seems.

If it were heads up it would be closer. Now replace the...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:11 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Ugly QQ hand.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) wacki's version of bison (http://parazen.bio.indiana.edu/cgi-bin/tc.cgi)

SB (t11274)
BB (t5475)
UTG (t31765)
UTG+1 (t21240)...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 12:46 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Did I have blood in my eyes?

[ QUOTE ]

My question is this: did I play the hand too agressively? He wasn't a great player, and I put him on something like AT or KQ.


[/ QUOTE ]
Your range is way too narrow. HU, he...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 12:33 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Two Inflection Point problems......

Hand 1: Fold. I'd think about shoving this late, but not early. This can be table-dependent, though. If EP pushes are given excessive respect at your table (sometimes the case at Stars), you...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 12:25 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: OT: Has the message ordering changed?

[ QUOTE ]
it's in the settings, it always has been, i think maybe the default changed...

anyways, you can change it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Err, I see a setting for threaded vs flat, but not for...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 12:05 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
OT: Has the message ordering changed?

Perhaps I'm missing something obvious, but the order of messages in threads has changed to something funky for me. New messages are going at the top, sort-of, except when they don't. And unread...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-04-2005, 11:54 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: Stars 10 dollar rebuy 45K guaranteed

$20 sent. A little late -- just send back my $20 if you think it's too late.

Cheerio, and GL all.

P.S. Just busted out of the 5r. Flopped a 2-card flush, but a 4th heart falls on the river...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-04-2005, 09:35 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 4
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: **Stars 3R**

[ QUOTE ]
I'm there. Pitcher of margaritas to be consumed tonight = much fun on MTTs to come tonight. Must stay away from real money table though.
Table 116. Plus, I see Atticus Fynch also.
...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-04-2005, 02:28 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 56
Posted By AtticusFinch
Break 3

49k at table 135. Anyone else left in the LL?
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-03-2005, 11:31 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 56
Posted By AtticusFinch
Re: *** Official 45k Guaranteed *** (LL anyone?)

Uh oh, guess who's chip leader? /images/graemlins/wink.gif

Doubt it will last long.
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