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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-26-2005, 03:50 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 11
Posted By locutus2002
Re: PP 33r: Am I being results-oriented?

I'd push the turn. With your loose image you should get called by a wide range of hands that you are way ahead of including 2 overs. Villain's probably calling you with a 2 or a 3 and expecting you...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 06:22 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 5
Posted By locutus2002
Re: from chipleader to out in the stars 45k rebuy

I think you raised too much.

You asked villain to play for all his chips, you got it, with no ability to get away from the hand.

Calling A2 is slightly CEV- if hero is loose and CEV+ if hero...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 05:39 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: 88 in EP. (Stars $20 Deepstack) Oh, and i\'m a calling station.

IF villain bets the turn he should push not mini-bluff.

From villain's point of view, hero probably has a midpair or overs. Villain is behind. (Note that from both players point of view they...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 05:21 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 14
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Playing too less hands in Tournament?

This narrow range is about 5.6% of your hands that you will open/raise with and a few other hands that you will limp.

With this tight an image, I would look for resteal opportunities.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 05:13 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: 88 in EP. (Stars $20 Deepstack) Oh, and i\'m a calling station.

The pot is T2500 at the turn.

villain stands to win 15% of T5500 if we check/call the river or ~T825. This is the equity we give up by checking the turn against two overs. We give up this equity...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 02:11 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: 88 in EP. (Stars $20 Deepstack) Oh, and i\'m a calling station.

I'd lead the flop. Against so many players it is unlikely that hero would check the flop if he held a jack. Once hero checks, his hand becomes very vulnerable OOP. Villain's 1/2 pot bet into a...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-21-2005, 03:09 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 2
Posted By locutus2002
Re: all in or stop and go?

If you are ahead of his range you shouldn't consider a stop n go.

Stop n go is useful when:
1) you have no FE BTF but may have some ATF and
2) you are not ahead of his range

small pairs are...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-21-2005, 12:42 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Well, that was much better than last year.

That's great Woodguy! I'm sure it has saved you alot of irritation around April-May.


/images/graemlins/laugh.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 07:50 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 6
Posted By locutus2002
Re: 99 preflop decision $100r

This hand has been bothering me for a day.

I think hero's move is totally dependent on the table and the players, but in general I don't think a fold is incorrect (unless the table is passive)...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 07:07 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 15
Posted By locutus2002
Re: math quiz

1. Villain folds hero wins 4K.
Villain calls hero hits str8 15% of the time and wins 10K and 85% of the time loses 4K. Net -2K.
villain folds 33% of the time to break even.

2a. Who knows. hero...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 05:53 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 1
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Deepstacked decision, call or fold to this all-in?

Hero folds.

Looks like a set. A small flush is also possible although Wolik folded.

In the best case scenario its a poorly played AhJx, and you're slightly ahead.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 07:55 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: How low would you go...

the ICM model does not account for position, blind or stack size. All very important in this situation.

Short stacks equity in the pot is irrelevant.
Hero has about EV 550K if he folds, $ 250K...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 07:32 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: A hand I played recently, just like to know your thoughts

Villain is the PFR, I'd c/r to 20K. He is going to offer a continuation bet whether he hits the flop or not - most of the time.

Let him make a decision for all his chips first.

After the c/r...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 06:55 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 4
Posted By locutus2002
Re: QJs Interesting hand

I'm going to squirrel this through the foxhole-- unless he wobbles.
/images/graemlins/laugh.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 01:54 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: How low would you go...

I got about the same numbers.

Hero risks 250K to win 100K in EV or 2.5:1 and has to be 72% in the hand.

Somewhere around JJ is EV+ considering villain is tossing out the bottom range of his...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-16-2005, 04:38 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Did I make the right call here?

Easy call. 2.4:1 => that you have to be 29.5% in the hand to call. Even against a tight range you are 30% and more if the range loosens up.

Of course you are a donkey for raising 85o from MP in...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-15-2005, 04:43 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 10
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)

Hand 1:

I'd fold and let it go. This is a situation where I might not offer a continuation bet (based on opponent) because its unlikely that the flop hit hero. I'd probably be looking to...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-15-2005, 04:11 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: (sweat) Final Table Stars 55r middle stack

thanks anyhow, I guess I wanted the action.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-15-2005, 04:02 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
Re: (sweat) Final Table Stars 55r middle stack

out 6th. AQs v. k5 5 on the river.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-15-2005, 03:48 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By locutus2002
(sweat) Final Table Stars 55r middle stack

Come sweat me if you have nothing else to do.
/images/graemlins/laugh.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-14-2005, 07:24 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 1
Posted By locutus2002
Re: Bellagio ME hand #3

I'd call and play for set value.
I think a fold is better than a push.

Here's why I don't like a push.

Hero has no ability to fold out the following hands: 88++,Ak,AQ. Roughly 70 hands, 3...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-14-2005, 06:44 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me

Let's suppose your numbers are correct, which they're not.

Villain has to fold 37% of the hands for hero to break even, or 453 hands out of 1225 possible hands. Villain would have to fold about...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-14-2005, 05:54 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me

Villain has 4XBB left as stated in the problem, the BB is a sunk cost. Villain gets 5XBB:4XBB pot odds and has to be 44% in the hand against hero's range to make the call. Less if you are willing...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-14-2005, 05:22 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me

A player with 4XBB left is the worst player at the table to steal from.

From villain's point of view, Folding 75% of the time is a terrible option when you have 4XBB left and your opponents...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-14-2005, 04:22 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By locutus2002
Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me

Most players overestimate their fold equity.

Villain only needs to be ~40% in the hand, and is in critical chip situation so may make calls with less than 40%.

roughly Villain calls any...
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