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Forum: Other Gambling Games 04-09-2004, 09:30 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 94
Posted By Wildbill
Re: NBA Champions

Nice run Lakers made here to get to the top of the West and then they look mediocre letting a team like Portland come into their house and handle them easily after a weak effort against the champs at...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-31-2004, 02:37 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 79
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Barrons - other random questions

Copper has risen all the way to $1.65/pound. Maybe it goes higher, but still how much money can a company make digging for something that costs less than a cheap cut of meat at the supermarket? ...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-30-2004, 01:57 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 49
Posted By Wildbill
Re: ..scalf genius play...!!..$$$

Technical analysis explains many stocks and narrow categories such as single commodities, but they can't possibly explain the multitude of factors that affect treasuries. Treasuries are weak right...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-30-2004, 01:53 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 77
Posted By Wildbill
Re: GDP Growth: Are The Numbers Too Rosy?

Uhh...bet Democrat to win the Presidency? If the GDP comes out heavily revised and doesn't turn back before October then Bush is as good as done. The only thing that can save him is to have a...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-30-2004, 01:49 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 79
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Barrons - other random questions

I don't get copper mining at all. Unless you are literally just dragging it out of a shallow hole how long can it be profitable? The amazing thing too is so much of it comes from the Southern...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-28-2004, 09:47 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 94
Posted By Wildbill
Re: final 4 thoughts..

I totally agree Scalfie, that is a curiously high line. Might even venture into a BAD line. Look at the two teams recent performances, other than the OT game today, neither is coming in over 140...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-27-2004, 03:19 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 87
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Elite 8 who to bet on????

Just follow my simple advice. Bet the favorite, the money line on the dog, or pass. Mostly the favorites, all are quality teams with good coaches. The lines are moving up quickly though so I...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-27-2004, 02:32 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 89
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Crimson Tide +8.5?

Same thing as I said with Duke. You are betting against a strong team, excellent coach, and a squad that can taste the Final 4. Don't bet teams at this point thinking the points are too generous. ...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-24-2004, 05:23 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 122
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Shoe In of the Week

The number seems a bit inflated, but this is where laying bigger chalk starts to make sense. A veteran team led by a great coach goes out of their way to demolish their opponent if they can. There...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-23-2004, 12:30 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 126
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Advice??

Damn Ray, you really hate those internet companies don't you? /images/graemlins/grin.gif The kid said he wanted MSFT, DIS, and then half into mutual funds. May not be the best two stocks to pick...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-22-2004, 12:17 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 78
Posted By Wildbill
Re: FOX ready to gain?

Election years are always baked into analyst expectations. You would have to expect above-expectation ad rates or ad volume to gain from this situation. The big driver in ad dollars is economic...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-20-2004, 09:48 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 71
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Selling Short Long Bonds?????

Agreed completely Ray. I think the most overlooked fact is that external forces have been extremely helpful to us in our long disinflationary period. Japan and China had been in long deflationary...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-20-2004, 02:50 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 71
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Selling Short Long Bonds?????

Ray, I think you underestimate the potential for a bond yield jump precisely because the Fed may not move. I think rates could quickly spike if the market sees signs of inflation and the Fed sits on...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-19-2004, 05:03 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 92
Posted By Wildbill
Re: How often is a 6 seed a favorite over a 3 seed

UNC is like Arizona and Kansas. Big time reputation, a load of great athletes, but that team element is missing this year. They are so incredibly inconsistent I don't know how people get excited...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-19-2004, 05:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 46
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Need a gaming stock

ISLE was in good shape, in my mind, until they got themselves involved in that Illinois hornets nest. I would advise everyone to stay out of there because who knows what comes of this supposedly...
Forum: The Stock Market 03-19-2004, 03:14 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 46
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Need a gaming stock

Why a 30 year stock? The sector is fully valued, if not overvalued right now. I read analyst stuff on everyone in the industry practically all day long and they are all in love and in bed with the...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-19-2004, 03:04 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 97
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Nevada 72, Michigan St. 66

I did /images/graemlins/grin.gif

If the Pack hadn't missed so many open shots in the first half this wouldn't have been that close. I think they got nerves and once they fell behind a lot they...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-18-2004, 11:53 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 118
Posted By Wildbill
Re: An Easy Score...

Not that we will hold it against you, but I find it hilarious you work for the DOJ. Does John Ashcroft know the greatest handicapper alive works underneath his nose? hahaha ...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-18-2004, 03:31 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 118
Posted By Wildbill
Re: A couple of NCAA tourney games I like.../Shoe In!

Simply incredible. The Buffs bluffed out Big Al, came out with a vengeance in the first half and it all looked bleak. Big Al makes a couple phone calls to the locker room and what do you know, the...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-16-2004, 11:28 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 118
Posted By Wildbill
Re: A couple of NCAA tourney games I like.../Shoe In!

That is great thinking there Al on Oregon. NIT always has games like this in the first round and they usually equal big money.

I am a bit biased on the Huskies too, my alma mater. The Stanford...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-13-2004, 12:14 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Is Kerry +157 a good value bet?

I don't think being liberal is that big of a detractor. Just remember that elections with a sitting chief are always about his term and what has happened in his 4 years. The upstart wins or loses...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-12-2004, 03:09 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By Wildbill
Re: Is Kerry +157 a good value bet?

I doubt any of those will come into play, other than if they really do catch Osama then. I don't think there is any way we could have a provable rip-roaring economy by then and the job numbers just...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-02-2004, 10:42 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 100
Posted By Wildbill
Re: How beatable is a 15 cent line?

Depends on the book and the size of the favorite. If the line is close to even a lot of books might book it at -110. Pinnacle will book it even lower. Many books though do deal a worse line...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 02-26-2004, 05:17 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 84
Posted By Wildbill
Re: sac at la.

Lakers are 6 point favorites, don't know where you got the idea they would be underdogs...
Forum: The Stock Market 02-26-2004, 05:16 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 74
Posted By Wildbill
Re: I have to sell some stock...

If one was truly trying to get diversification, they wouldn't buy SPY. The S&P is not cleanly diversified as the index is weighted towards large cap companies and then inside the index it is...
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