Forum: Probability
10-25-2005, 08:15 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 136
Re: Losing 27 blackjack hands in a row
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I get the odds to be ..49^27
This just happened to me on party, and using between 5 and 25 dollar bets I just lost 400 dollars.... I got a few ties in there, like when I double my 11 to...
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Forum: Poker Theory
10-22-2005, 06:51 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 83
Re: Game Theory and its NLHE Implications
Here's a short answer about applying game theory to poker.
You have a strategy for playing poker. That strategy includes what you would do in all the various possible situations you might find...
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Forum: Poker Theory
10-22-2005, 06:27 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 127
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Forum: Probability
10-22-2005, 12:30 AM
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Replies: 21
Views: 185
Re: For the mathematically minded
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It is an important contribution. Of all the coins in the history of the world that have been flipped 21 times heads in a row, I'll bet none of them were fair.
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Assuming...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
10-19-2005, 07:46 PM
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Replies: 87
Views: 301
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Forum: Poker Theory
10-19-2005, 02:24 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 226
Re: Classic Type Game Theory Problem
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If y < .5 and A is better than .5, A should be pat and B should draw.
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This doesn't seem right. If y = .0001 & A has .0002, surely A would draw.
[/ QUOTE...
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Forum: Poker Theory
10-19-2005, 02:22 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 226
Re: Classic Type Game Theory Problem
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So have you seen this problem before? If not, don't forget to name it after me in you next article.
"Thanks David, I needed a simple problem to distract me today."
Jerrod Ankenman
...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
10-19-2005, 12:53 AM
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Replies: 87
Views: 301
Re: Classic Type Game Theory Problem
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I came to the conclusion that the ideal strategy for A is to stand pat on all hands where 1.0 - B < A.
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That is part of the optimal strategy in some cases, when...
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Forum: Poker Theory
10-19-2005, 12:39 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 226
Re: Classic Type Game Theory Problem
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I just thought of this problem recently when a player mistakingly exposed his pat lowball hand too soon in a triple draw game against an all in opponent.
I realized that the situation...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-31-2005, 02:25 AM
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Replies: 14
Views: 126
Re: optimal bluffing frequency
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im approaching this purely from a game theory perspective; i'm studying a game, trying to find the optimal strategy for both players. I made the assumption that given a certain hand, the...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-29-2005, 05:08 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 126
Re: optimal bluffing frequency
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we know that the optimal bluffing frequency is s.t the odds against bluffing are the same as the pot odds the opponent receives. At the optimal bluffing frequency it doesn't matter if the...
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Forum: Probability
07-27-2005, 05:47 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Risk of Ruin
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Risk of ruin is a simple concept, but in practice you aren't sure of
/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Your win rate.
Of course you may have an estimate, but small differences greatly...
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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments
06-26-2005, 11:48 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 35
Re: short stack, late in tourney
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My biggest problem area is playing a short stack late in a tourney.
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Often the best way to play a short stack late in a tourney is to turn it into a big stack. The way you...
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-26-2005, 05:58 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 88
Re: Better than Tournaments?
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It seems to me that this is not unlike a tournament where you basically win when you get lucky. (In any one event)
I have noticed that most of the small buy in events like 20+2 MTT's...
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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments
06-21-2005, 03:38 AM
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Replies: 18
Views: 78
Re: Article Summary w an Example
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It doesn't sound like these models are doing the same thing.
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To what little I've seen of yours, it seems it does. You calculate 1st place equity by whatever...
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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments
06-20-2005, 10:30 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 78
Re: Article Summary w an Example
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Until I get my hands on the full article and get a better understanding of how the equations were derived I can't deduce it myself, but would it be possible for this model to be applied on...
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Forum: Books and Publications
06-20-2005, 07:16 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 133
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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments
06-20-2005, 07:06 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 78
Re: Article Summary w an Example
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Interesting stuff, but C shouldn't be a constant number, which makes things more complicated I think. I have a much better chance of doubling up early in a tournament before many of the...
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Forum: Probability
06-17-2005, 05:25 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 81
Re: Question about math in poker
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Can anyone tell me what the most important mathematical factors are in poker??? The books and articles talk about pot odds, implied odds, odds against making certain hands, etc., but they...
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Forum: Probability
06-10-2005, 06:39 PM
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Replies: 25
Views: 170
Re: Confidence Intervals
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You apparently do not understand a very important and subtle thing which most people also do not understand. You need to understand this before you put the above in a book, or your book...
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Forum: Probability
06-08-2005, 11:43 AM
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Replies: 25
Views: 170
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Forum: Probability
06-07-2005, 05:18 PM
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Replies: 25
Views: 170
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Forum: Probability
06-07-2005, 05:09 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 83
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-07-2005, 04:56 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 85
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-31-2005, 01:31 PM
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Replies: 286
Views: 1,041
Re: the [0,1] game
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So 15 bets means 8 raises for yourself and 7 for your opponent? And this is the $1 at a time version?
PairTheBoard
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Oh, it's actually 15 bets (although when I actually...
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