Two Plus Two Older Archives

Views: 278

Posted By YoureToast

Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?

Thanks to everyone for the advice. I've elected to go with the $500/$500 split, play for the remaining $600 method and my opponent has agreed. Now my only risk is not getting paid if I don't win.

Forum: Sports Betting

12-21-2005, 02:19 PM

Replies: 26

NHL thought / bet for tonight

Views: 213

Posted By YoureToast

Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

I'm a big fan of psychology based bets because there's typically an edge thats not reflected in the line. The problem with this particular bet is two-fold, however. First, if this is widely known...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-21-2005, 11:38 AM

Replies: 10

Views: 278

Posted By YoureToast

Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?

[ QUOTE ]
I agree with everyone who said do a partial split and play for the rest. I don't think you have much of an edge, if any at all.

On a related note, unless this is a 20 team league I...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-20-2005, 05:17 PM

Replies: 10

Views: 278

Posted By YoureToast

Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?

[ QUOTE ]

I'd try to make some sort of deal and then play for a more reasonable amount. Not sure what the payout is between 1st and second, but if its just $1600 for first (and nothing for...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-20-2005, 03:53 PM

Replies: 10

Views: 278

Posted By YoureToast

FF Finals: Would you make a deal?

$1600 is on the line in my CBSSportsline fantasy football league. I'm in the finals. I'm thinking about making a deal, but think I have an edge. What do you think? This is standard scoring, 1 QB,...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-20-2005, 11:51 AM

Replies: 16

Even if you have $ on MNF

Views: 190

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Even if you have $ on MNF

[ QUOTE ]
...don't you just feel like not watching the game, turning on a movie/reading a magazine just not to listen to Madden and watch two pathetically boring teams play football?

[/ QUOTE ]...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-19-2005, 12:28 AM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
Someone has to explain two things to me:

(1) the failure to reverse the "interception" -- the receiver had possession and clearly was down ... and the TV crew does not know what they...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 09:24 PM

Replies: 11

Views: 487

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 09:18 PM

Replies: 11

Views: 487

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...
...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 09:03 PM

Replies: 11

Views: 487

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like

Thanks. I suspected Dunn's OU rushing to be lower. I don't see any value at 83.

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 08:49 PM

Replies: 11

Views: 487

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like

[ QUOTE ]
sportsbook has these:

Michael Vick (Falcons) What Will He Throw First - Must Play
TD -115
INT -115

Michael Vick (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 08:31 PM

Replies: 11

Views: 487

Posted By YoureToast

Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like

Atlanta Total o14 -115 (WWTS)
(I think Atlanta scores more than 14 3 out of 4 games)
Atlanta -18 +1500 (WWTS)
(I think Atlanta blows Chicago out at least once every fifteen times).

I think the...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-18-2005, 01:54 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

This game is now widely available @ 3.5 (after moving down during the week) at:
Cris: -110
VIP: -110
Holly: -107

Pound it.

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 03:35 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
Slight hijack, but what do you set the over/under on the ESPN crew mentioning how cold it is in Chicago at night?

[/ QUOTE ]

476.

About the same as the over/under on the times...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 03:21 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
Any thoughts on a Dome team being outside in December?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. This is the one factor I'm a little bit uneasy about. Its not so much being a dome team as it is being a...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 03:16 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
I was wondering, how does one know which of your picks are your 'official' picks and which aren't?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think its pretty self-evident. When I say "Take Atlanta -3", or...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 03:07 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
otherwise, you can use the search function.

[/ QUOTE ]

No thanks, I figured you might know.

Sygamel, since you're a supporter, do you happen to know off-hand?

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 02:43 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Actually not keeping a tally. I think I've made about 6-8 predictions and been wrong once.

[/ QUOTE ]

If I recall correctly, I'm personally 0-2 on betting your...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 12:44 PM

Replies: 28

Rose Bowl = Laugher

Views: 424

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Rose Bowl = Laugher

[ QUOTE ]
Styles make games. How did Notre Dame and Fresno St. move the ball against USC? With a precision passing game supplemented by enough running to provide balance. ASU also hurt them...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 11:29 AM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
I wasn't trying to question the validity of your picks or your analysis, nor did I think you were being a smartass, I was just asking if you had an overall tally of how you were doing with...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 11:16 AM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 11:06 AM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Toast is the new CCx.

I'm just happy you aren't using "we" anymore in your analysis.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think my record making Falcons picks speaks for itself.

Forum: Sports Betting

12-16-2005, 10:38 AM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
Toast is the new CCx.

I'm just happy you aren't using "we" anymore in your analysis.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think my record making Falcons picks speaks for itself.

Forum: Sports Betting

12-15-2005, 02:41 PM

Replies: 78

Views: 810

Posted By YoureToast

Re: Falcons @ Bears: Opportunity Knocks

[ QUOTE ]
I see no value in this line.

OP sounds like he is just trying to make his analysis fit his argument.

And FWIW I watched NO run all over Atlanta three days ago.

[/ QUOTE ]
...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-15-2005, 01:02 PM

Replies: 78