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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-17-2005, 04:11 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 104
Posted By donny5k
Re: Taking a Coinflip in BB on the Absolute Bubble? ($109)

[ QUOTE ]

With what limited information I have, I probably call this hand and just hope the cards fall in my favor. I don't see the reasoning for laying it down if you think they're pushing any 2....
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-17-2005, 03:55 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 54
Posted By donny5k
Re: This hand has me wondering...

[ QUOTE ]
PF: I put in a sizeable raise to try to take what the limpers have laid out for you.

Flop: What makes you think top pair 5 kicker is good when there are 4 limpers. Check and...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-17-2005, 03:46 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 37
Posted By donny5k
Re: all in or fold?

[ QUOTE ]
Hate to disagree with someone who's probably 10x better than I am, but I'm pushing here. You don't have many chips and you're going to need to double up to stay alive in this tournament. ...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 10-04-2005, 11:47 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 216
Posted By donny5k
Re: Canterbury 8/16, Preflop question

[ QUOTE ]
I disagree. This is a huge multiway pot, where cutting down opponents is wishful thinking. You raise, but the primary reason is the pure profit from set value. If you can nab the button or...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-28-2005, 10:38 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 141
Posted By donny5k
Re: Good use of the turn donk?

[ QUOTE ]


Again, you're only looking at one bet here-- namely, the second bet. I agree that if he only had to call the second bet, he'd be right to do it. When he calls the first bet, he's...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-28-2005, 03:05 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 61
Posted By donny5k
Re: SSH made me 60 bucks!

The goal of the flop raise isn't to "protect your hand" it is to thin the field to increase your pot equity. And this concept should only be applied if:
a. Opponents don't coldcall 2 constantly....
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-26-2005, 04:07 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 56
Posted By donny5k
Re: passive against agressive

After throwing in the hand range of any ace, any broadway, and any pair (27% PFR) into pokerstove, and assuming he'll bet the whole way regardless, QJo is a 3 to 1 underdog on the flop. If you...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-26-2005, 02:59 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 56
Posted By donny5k
Re: passive against agressive

You aren't going to win often enough to call the flop in my opinion.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-26-2005, 02:54 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 65
Posted By donny5k
Re: I wanted to bet Ace high so badly, but alas, I am weak.

You still bet the turn if all 3 call? Even though the vast majority of the time you are behind and will get called by a better hand? There's no way you're ahead often enough in this situation to...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-26-2005, 02:46 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 65
Posted By donny5k
Re: I wanted to bet Ace high so badly, but alas, I am weak.

While this could be a decent "standard" line against 1-2 opponents, into 3 opponents I think this loses money if you are called by all 3 on the flop.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-25-2005, 08:52 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 63
Posted By donny5k
Re: Donkbet This

I like it. And will use it in the future.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-25-2005, 03:06 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 91
Posted By donny5k
Re: Probably Boring Blind Defense Hand

If you're confident that you're behind every time you can fold a blank. But 6-1 + implied odds is pretty good if all 5 of your outs are live (AT is a possible villain holding here). The problem is...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-25-2005, 01:09 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 56
Posted By donny5k
Re: River raise with AK UI

What hand are you representing? Do you take this line with anything BUT a bluff?
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 09:16 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 350
Posted By donny5k
Re: MATH: 45 extra chips to start 800-chip tourney adds >5% to ROI

It's probably harder than you think. /images/graemlins/cool.gif
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 09:14 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 350
Posted By donny5k
Re: MATH: 45 extra chips to start 800-chip tourney adds >5% to ROI

You probably realize this but I thought it was worth adding that the reason math isn't enough to maximize expectation is because your opponents don't play anywhere near optimally. ...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 09:07 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 350
Posted By donny5k
Re: MATH: 45 extra chips to start 800-chip tourney adds >5% to ROI

[ QUOTE ]
why hasen't one of the elite poker players simply programmed a machine to crush us all?


[/ QUOTE ]
simply? haha.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-22-2005, 07:21 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 49
Posted By donny5k
Re: do you use poker tracker?

It doesn't matter if these hands are losers. The money you put in preflop is a sunk cost once the flop comes. Whenever this situation occurs you are definitely an underdog to lose the hand so you...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 07:15 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 140
Posted By donny5k
Re: Is 5k sng\'s played enough?

If the higher of the 2 of them wins the main pot, the small stack busts anyway. If the lower of the two of them wins but you win the 2k sidepot, he busts and you win a seat. You highly increase the...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 06:27 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 350
Posted By donny5k
Re: MATH: 45 extra chips to start 800-chip tourney adds >5% to ROI

It cannot be proven mathematically, but doesn't everyone's intuition just scream that ICM is plain wrong in this case (mathematical intuition as well as from experience)?

This is like chip count...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 06:18 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 48
Posted By donny5k
Re: ITM decision with QQ (33\'s) as the microstack

You'll win just under 2/3 of the time against 2 random hands. So here's the math:
2/3 of the time you win, and have just under 1.5BB. 1/3 of the time you are out in 3rd. If you fold, 1/2 of the...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 09-21-2005, 08:01 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 119
Posted By donny5k
Re: AA against dumb weak guy, maybe non-standard

He may not fold a better hand here and very likely will not call with 1 pair. Is your push to get him to fold 2 pair or is it for him to call with a jack? I'd like this push a lot better with air...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 09-21-2005, 01:44 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 277
Posted By donny5k
Re: Your pick for most overrated NL hand?

If this were true, you could steal a LOT of pots (like 90% of flops!). And even if it were true, assuming you raised preflop, you'd still show a profit with AA.
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 09-21-2005, 01:42 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 277
Posted By donny5k
Re: Your pick for most overrated NL hand?

What's #1 then? Is it just a sample size issue?
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-21-2005, 09:48 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 63
Posted By donny5k
Re: Tilt. Stopping Early.

I have a 20BB downswing at some point in almost every 2 hour session I play.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-21-2005, 09:44 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 59
Posted By donny5k
Re: Another AK hand, check raised on turn, check to me on river...

Yes, and the existence of hands that you beat OBVIOUSLY implies that you should reraise...
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