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Search: Posts Made By: Pokerscott
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 09:32 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 170
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Odds of a major downswing?

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That would tell me my % chance of having a 10 buyin drop,

[/ QUOTE ]

You didn't understand me. I was suggesting you calculate the odds that a 15% player will have a -10...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-02-2005, 06:00 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 335
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: flop a set, how to extract?

I would think of it this way:

How would a donk on a flush draw (over) play the hand? if you can represent that, you can get a lot of decent players to come along.

Two ideas for this:
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-01-2005, 01:47 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 273
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Best $50+5 Players...

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Some who I would say are solid are XxTabiasxX, ShipItHolla, and ThaCaumFlipa.


[/ QUOTE ]

For no other reason than the way he signs his posts, I always thought ShipItHolla was...
Forum: Probability 11-30-2005, 06:31 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 174
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: mutual exclusivity

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This aspect of your drawing doesn't impact your solution, and it's OK as long as we only interpret the drawing as a table of numbers. However, when you draw the line for B 35% from the...
Forum: Probability 11-29-2005, 10:15 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 174
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: mutual exclusivity

ok, my take on explaining this graphically and easily /images/graemlins/smile.gif

1. Draw a square

2. Draw a vertical line down the middle of the square. Left half is A, right half is A'

3....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-28-2005, 08:58 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 78
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Do players iso-raise short stacks at PP20? i.e., should I r-r w KQ

[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone have anything to say about UTG pushing just before the BB reaches him, and UTG+1 being aware of this, and how that affects UTG+1's range?

Edit: I'm aware that KQo is a...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-27-2005, 11:44 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 46
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: How do you play a very early big stack?

I would play normal tight until 50/100+ blinds. At that point I would start to pressure the 2nd/3rd stacks with 2.5x-3x raises on their blinds.

It doesn't change my play too much except I am a...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-27-2005, 11:39 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 104
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: $109\'s... I am a post flop genius... but...

3 options for me:

-Limp 60%
-fold 30%
-loooong pause and then min raise 10% /images/graemlins/smile.gif

swap limp/fold probabilities if table raising out limpers.

Pokerscott
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-27-2005, 11:34 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 87
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Pretty clear call here mid tourney?

Couple of thoughts:

-why can't villian have a 9?
-If you are going to call his all-in isn't it better to just bet it out? Unless you think you are ahead and are trappnig...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-24-2005, 03:17 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 141
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: (55) QQ line

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One line of play to consider is to minraise pre flop. The theory is that AA and KK will never fail to re-reraise pre flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm surprised there has been no...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-24-2005, 03:06 AM
Replies: 114
Views: 2,158
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: What to do with a Child who plays SNG\'s?

If it makes you feel any better, my son learned how to play poker at 5. He really likes the math involved and enjoys the game. I don't let him play for money, but he does play in the play money...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-22-2005, 03:37 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 141
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: (55) QQ line

One line of play to consider is to minraise pre flop. The theory is that AA and KK will never fail to re-reraise pre flop. Raise your QQ up to 390. If they push all-in over the top of that you can...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-22-2005, 03:26 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 93
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Could you fold a flopped King High flush???

[ QUOTE ]
by betting out here, you made your decision, call.

[/ QUOTE ]

This to me seems like the answer. If folding to the money is your plan betting into a bigger stack is a horrible idea....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-21-2005, 08:19 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 48
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Mini-step 5 - re-steal opportunity?

[ QUOTE ]
totally lost here...


[/ QUOTE ]

When I get totally lost, I remind myself of my #1 rule: At the end of the SnG you want to be FIRST into the pot.

Yes you have to deviate from...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-21-2005, 08:07 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 71
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: SnG theory question

[ QUOTE ]

or you win 67.1% and have 59.2% of the prize pool.


[/ QUOTE ]

I would assume this has a normal 5 3 2 payout structure in which case you can never exceed 50% of the prize pool.
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-03-2005, 06:45 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 78
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: confused about KK hand

You raised big pre flop. You are supposed to have a big A. An ace hit the flop. Make a big flop bet (3/4 pot would be fine) and see if anyone wants to stay around under those conditions. If they...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-15-2005, 12:15 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 164
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Ok, I am CERTAIN this hand is obvious...

I think there is a little bit of a problem with the assumptions of this play.

To make this play you SIMULTANEOUSLY have to assume:

-The button is GOOD enough to lay down just about anything to...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-12-2005, 08:48 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 48
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Monsters under the bed?

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[ QUOTE ]
Probably. Are you planning to call a push on the river?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-11-2005, 06:31 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 125
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: FUN WITH AK. what would you do?

I'd fold.

Assuming either you are crushed or he is crushed, he needs to flip over crap about 1 times in 4 to make playing for the rest of his stack a good play.

The way he played it, it looks...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-10-2005, 02:19 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 537
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: 100% standard AJ raptor hand from sb.. in the 55s at least..

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You could always drop down to the 33s or 22s. That way your late game advantage would be so large you could pre-flop dump all but AA in levels 1-4 with...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-10-2005, 01:57 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 537
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: 100% standard AJ raptor hand from sb.. in the 55s at least..

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You could always drop down to the 33s or 22s. That way your late game advantage would be so large you could pre-flop dump all but AA in levels 1-4 with confidence.
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-10-2005, 01:24 AM
Replies: 140
Views: 537
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: 100% standard AJ raptor hand from sb.. in the 55s at least..

You could always drop down to the 33s or 22s. That way your late game advantage would be so large you could pre-flop dump all but AA in levels 1-4 with confidence.

Pokerscott
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-09-2005, 08:08 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 46
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: A question about ROI%

Rakeback is around +2% ROI (e.g. $2 on a $100 buyin). Anyone claiming to have an ROI > 2% (and most here would) could technically play without rakeback and still 'beat the game'

Pokerscott
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-08-2005, 02:02 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 69
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: \"How to Missapply a Good Idea,\" or \"Wow, Good Job Applying That Id

This sequence reminds me of my favorite way of playing monsters QQ+ these days.

I make a standard 3x raise to begin with and then hope for a low / uncoordinated board. Assuming I hit the lowish...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 07-11-2005, 01:06 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 117
Posted By Pokerscott
Re: Bubble hand disagreement

As far as image goes, it only gets harder!

Now that we have established that shorty will be pushing with any two rags here, it is time to figure out what we should be calling with in the BB.
...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 207

 
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