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Search: Posts Made By: hedgeyerbets
Forum: The Stock Market 12-29-2005, 11:26 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 411
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Nitromed: heading for disaster

curious why you didn't just short the sucker. hard borrow? worried about takeover? they have a blockbuster in development?
Forum: The Stock Market 12-10-2005, 11:13 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 156
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Why do we need cash?

You should have a 3 to 6 month emergency fund in savings. Enough for you to pay the rent, pay for food, other unescapable espenses for a few months if you lost your job. 6k is probably enough...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-10-2005, 11:05 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 100
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: party poker

If it wasn't such a pain for me to trade stocks (compliance... damned compliance) I'd be $ neutral long party short empire.
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-07-2005, 08:45 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 121
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: a development

good god did anyone just see that?
Forum: Psychology 12-06-2005, 08:43 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 391
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Forum: Televised Poker 11-24-2005, 10:36 PM
Replies: 83
Views: 572
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Full TIlt Poker Invitational

This is like watching a mid-level party poker sit 'n go. And about as entertaining.
Forum: Probability 11-21-2005, 11:33 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 86
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Probability Books?

I second degroot being a great book. very very lucid. I sold it after a stats class in college. stupid stupid me /images/graemlins/wink.gif
Forum: The Stock Market 11-17-2005, 09:08 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: World Economy v. Poker??? Zero-Sum????

Ah, you are correct. Must lower caffein consumption and stop misreading thing. A perfectly delta-hedged option contract has an expected return of risk free rate - an option contract does not.
Forum: The Stock Market 11-17-2005, 08:59 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: World Economy v. Poker??? Zero-Sum????

the link does not do a good job of explaining the expected theoretical return of options. probably should have read it before linking it /images/graemlins/wink.gif I'll post a reply tomorrow if I...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-17-2005, 08:36 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: World Economy v. Poker??? Zero-Sum????

It explains why options and other derivatives earn the risk free rate in theory... which you called some guy drunk for stating.
Forum: The Stock Market 11-17-2005, 08:13 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: World Economy v. Poker??? Zero-Sum????

http://www.riskglossary.com/link/option_pricing_theory.htm

Risk neutral pricing.
Forum: Probability 11-15-2005, 07:49 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 138
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: trips flops twice in a row

dude - the sarcasm meter a bit broken today?
Forum: Probability 11-14-2005, 11:16 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 138
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Forum: Probability 11-13-2005, 11:03 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 138
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: trips flops twice in a row

there's this thing on your computer... search for calculator.exe
Forum: The Stock Market 11-13-2005, 09:04 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 53
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Average yearly return

When they say "average" they mean the geometric mean, not the arithmetic mean.
Forum: Probability 11-12-2005, 08:23 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 138
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: trips flops twice in a row

((4/52)*(3/51)*(2/50))^2 for just kings
(52/52)*(3/51)*(2/50)*(4/52)*(3/51)*(2/50) for the same trips ignoring suit twice in a row
((3/51)*(2/50))^2 for any trips on consecutive hands
Forum: The Stock Market 11-12-2005, 12:57 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 96
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Please help me invest my 25k

I don't think that there is any case (under current conditions for a rise in rates) to go with a CD and maybe 40 bps of extra yield over one of the internet savings accounts (eg emigrant-direct)...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-10-2005, 03:26 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

That's how it works for my alma mater.
Forum: The Stock Market 11-10-2005, 08:14 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

This would likely open up some other doors... you're better off asking this question to you career center though b/c I have little knowledge of legal career paths in business.
Forum: The Stock Market 11-09-2005, 11:12 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

Of course. But with his pedigree he should be able to get a job at a bank or a decent hedge fund, where he will almost surely make over 100k. BTW - are you the guy who worked at susq? Know 3 or 4...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-09-2005, 11:09 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

Nah analyst traders at the banks make at the very least 70k before their bonus... granted trading analyst bonuses are generally not as high as banking analyst bonuses, but you can easily make >100k. ...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-09-2005, 10:22 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

Tough one. Couple of options: (1) directly contact one of the big shops (citadel, amaranth, moore, silver point, caxton, etc. etc.) (2) contact yale alums (i'm assuming you have a networking...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-09-2005, 08:52 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 76
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Career question

2 things. (a) You won't be able to market yourself as having significant quant skills. At the very least, you should have a quant undergrad degree (math, physics, engineering, cs at some schools). ...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 11-02-2005, 06:47 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 142
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Reducing risk for a client. Is this the right solution?

Dude you just quoted yourself and said that your argument was seriously flawed. Count me confused.
Forum: Other Gambling Games 11-02-2005, 06:19 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 142
Posted By hedgeyerbets
Re: Reducing risk for a client. Is this the right solution?

No risk averse person would play the game to begin with. If forced to play, there is no preferred "rational" strategy if you use the standard economic definition of rationality. Going 1,2,3 is no...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 71

 
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