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Search: Posts Made By: Scorpion Man
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 09-05-2005, 10:58 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 130
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: KK, 3/6 NL i suxors

I would fold this turn and not give it a second thought. I would think you have the best hand here maybe 10-15% of the time. The rest of the time villains should have either A4x, 33/44/55/66 maybe...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-27-2005, 12:16 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 33
Posted By Scorpion Man
$1500 NL WSOP hand.

I start with $1500 chips have $900 or so left after being forced to race a short stack and losing with AK.

Blinds are $25/25 its still the first hour.

I pick up QQ next hand second to act. ...
Forum: Televised Poker 05-22-2005, 12:53 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 308
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: World Series of Poker/WSOP Odds of Winning Main Event (May 21)

The title of the thread is wrong these are odds of making the final table.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-22-2005, 02:40 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 110
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: KK facing huge overbet (Party 11)

The guy is tight. That does not mean he's an idiot. While once in a while people use reverse reverse psychology like this, its not worth worrying about. Be happy, click call, and move on. This is...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-22-2005, 01:43 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 99
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Another AK hand (AK is giving me tons of trouble)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


.0835 is 3 significant digits - and that is probably 1 too many, but not 2
[ QUOTE ]
error of the model its a wash.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 08:34 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 99
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Another AK hand (AK is giving me tons of trouble)

Microbet, I have a general question for you. I am not a frequent poster but I have seen you using ICM a couple times. In this case, it is a situation where you are saying its 43% to win. That is...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 01:45 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 118
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Two 200+15 hands

i agree if i am playing this hand i am pushing. That said, I dont really want to play this hand.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 01:38 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 162
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: So I folded AK on the bubble

I don't think its a clear call by any means. But I also think its clearly not an easy fold. I ran some math and you can argue with the specifics, but the general conclusions is that its about a...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 12:45 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 118
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Two 200+15 hands

Is 4:1 with a small chance you get the other 1000 from the SB enough to make this bet? What I dont like about the call in the first hand is that you will never have any sense where you are unless...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 02:18 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 162
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: So I folded AK on the bubble

OK too much agreement here so I might as well throw in a dissenting view as food for thought. I don't think its a no brainer fold. I am after EV, not minimizing variance. While I agree you fold...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 05-21-2005, 02:09 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 162
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: So I folded AK on the bubble

what were the blinds.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-27-2004, 02:55 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 61
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: 3rd in chips but shortstacked, how to play?

[ QUOTE ]
Saying if you were shorter stacked youd push doesnt make any sense - if you were 1700 would you push? But the only time it matters that you aren't 1700 is when the 3000 stack calls you,...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-26-2004, 11:52 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 61
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: 3rd in chips but shortstacked, how to play?

Am I the only one who would consider folding this hand UTG? If you get called you are 50/50 if lucky and 20/80 if unlucky. SOmetimes a small pair will call, but I would think a big pair would call...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-26-2004, 11:35 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 37
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Call?

Fold. Would sure help to understand the player better. Could easily be a hand like 76s.

Agree with above on bet sizes costing you information and also too many draws.

He obviously may be...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-26-2004, 10:06 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 108
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: can i fold KK pre-flop ?

Nope. Only AA has you beat. And its a wierd way to play AA anyway. To me AA makes a smaller raise than this. If he has AA I pray and move on to the next SNG.

I put him on AK or a TT-QQ. I...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-26-2004, 10:02 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 49
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: AK 1st round, A on flop

I disagree with the bet on the turn. You have shown appropriate aggression preflop and made a flush or straight draw a dicey call on the flop. Your opponent has to know that AK is a strong...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 10:02 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 52
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: THE FLOP

[ QUOTE ]
it's early
without a read don't go broke with JJ but that's why I limp with JJ in LP even with only one limper... Bet the over pair and fold to a reraise. Maybe that's a little...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 10:01 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 52
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: THE FLOP

As my title reveals I am only a "stranger"; but i dont know how/why you would have played this hand more strongly than you did.

You made a greater than pot sized raise. As luck would have it you...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 01:10 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 64
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: 77 - first to enter pot from button; becomes second pair on flop

But you can do that with any two on the button. Why raise w/77 and scare away some chook (sp?) who is gonna give you all his chips if he hits two pair and you make your set?

[/ QUOTE ]


[...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 04:11 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 33
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Trips when flush draw flops.

I gotta go to bed so here is rest of hand. Just how dumb was i? At this point I think he is either bluffing, or drawing to a fourth heart. But clearly I allowed myself to put in an uncertain...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 03:55 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 33
Posted By Scorpion Man
Trips when flush draw flops.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (4 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Button (t3515)
Hero (t1555)
BB (t1665)
UTG (t2265)
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 03:50 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 64
Posted By Scorpion Man
77 - first to enter pot from button; becomes second pair on flop

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (6 handed)

UTG (t1820)
MP (t1220)
CO (t1210)
Hero (t1630)
SB (t1590)
BB (t1530)

Preflop: Hero is Button with...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2004, 01:23 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 65
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Issues with the 30+3\'s, help please (long)

Very hard to know given the lack of other info here, but the distribution of outcomes suggests to me that you are playing pretty tight early, and therefore often making it to the final 5-7 players...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-18-2004, 08:39 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 57
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Late $200 SNG (4-6 players), what to call with?

Sorry for the question guys but I am a finance guy and ROI means something to me in the real world, but I clearly dont understand the nomenclature in poker. How are you defining return on investment...
Forum: Probability 12-18-2004, 07:35 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 93
Posted By Scorpion Man
Re: Whats the probabilty of floping a suited board?

[ QUOTE ]
Let’s say you hold 2 hearts. Then there are 50 cards left and 11 are hearts.

Flopping three hearts:
We compare the number of ways to choose three cards from the remaining hearts to the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 26

 
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