Forum: Probability
12-24-2002, 12:47 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 143
Re: Easy Hold \'em Question
True odds are the ratio of losing outcomes to winning outcomes. So the true odds are (1980-574):574 = 1406:574 = 2.449:1
Lin
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Forum: Probability
12-24-2002, 03:11 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 138
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Forum: Probability
12-23-2002, 11:29 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 138
Hornblower\'s Duel
Horatio Hornblower is accused of cheating at cards, and to preserve his honor, challenges his accuser to a duel. As the challenger, Hornblower gets to pick the weapons. His opponent is an expert at...
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Forum: Probability
12-23-2002, 10:58 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 135
Re: Odds Question?
Remember the number 1081. This is the total possible combinations of the last two cards when you've already seen 5 of them (i.e., your hand and the flop). The question is how many of these 2-card...
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Forum: Stud
12-23-2002, 10:42 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 89
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Forum: Stud
12-23-2002, 10:27 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 84
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Forum: Stud
12-23-2002, 09:41 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 125
Reply to Pat and CJC
You folks are obviously more familiar with these Foxwood games than I am, so I can't argue with some of the points you made, especially about the general approach to playing those games. However,...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
12-20-2002, 07:54 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 92
Re: Interesting 3-6 problem
Flop: bet. I'm not going to count on an UNKNOWN player to bet for me, so no check-raise here. I'll call the raise.
Turn: I'd check-raise. If he's got AA, 54, or a 2, well that's the way it goes...
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Forum: Stud
12-20-2002, 07:21 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 125
Re: How to compete with a maniac?
Tightening up was right, playing more drawing hands was probably wrong. In spread limit, the bet size doesn't double on the late streets, so if a maniac is making you pay $6 on third to play a...
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Forum: Stud
12-20-2002, 07:06 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 119
Re: New to the Game
Unless you have a rock-crusher like aces full, your good hands never have that much edge in stud. This is especially true in multiway pots where your opponents' combined "outs" can make you a big...
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Forum: Stud
12-20-2002, 06:47 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 91
Re: Raise or fold?
This hand is very marginal but not entirely unplayable. Still, I would recommend that most players fold it.
IF you are a better player than anyone already in the pot, IF your opponents tend to be...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-09-2002, 09:35 AM
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Replies: 29
Views: 109
Re: 10-20: AA under pressure on the turn
I'd fold. When you figure your implied odds, you probably need at least a 20% chance of winning, and I don't think you have anywhere near that. SB may be a bad player, but that doesn't mean he...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-06-2002, 08:38 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 41
JJ in Big Blind 10-20 Hand
Loosish 10-20 game. I've just sat down in the big blind. Half the players are familiar regulars, half are strangers. My hand is J /forums/images/icons/diamond.gif J /forums/images/icons/club.gif .
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-06-2002, 07:13 AM
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Replies: 28
Views: 115
No way
I'm roughly guesstimating that in a 10-handed game you'd have to NET at least $600 per pot when you do win just to break even. "Fair" players just aren't going to give you that kind of action.
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Forum: Other Poker Games
12-06-2002, 06:17 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 44
Re: Playing Omaha Hi-Lo 8s or Better
My own opinion is that, given identical limits and opponents of similar levels of ability, a really good player will do better playing Hold'em. The downside is that Hold'em requires a larger...
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Forum: Stud
12-04-2002, 08:54 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
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Forum: Stud
12-04-2002, 08:50 AM
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Replies: 13
Views: 127
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Forum: Probability
11-29-2002, 03:39 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 245
Re: Odds of 3 in a row?
If the probability of getting a SPECIFIC HAND once is 1/x, then the probability of getting THAT hand three times in a row is 1/(x^3). However, the probability of getting ANY hand once is 1, so the...
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Forum: Stud
11-29-2002, 03:29 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 94
Re: 3rd try - Stud/8 - raising on 7th w/ lock?
Assuming that you have a lock for low and that Dick won't reraise, the probability of the third player cold-calling a raise has to be one half of the probability of his calling for one bet in order...
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Forum: Stud
11-29-2002, 02:37 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 84
Re: After examination
I think Ashley's advice is pretty much right on target.
His example is a bit extreme (it's rare for five players to go to the showdown) but, in my experience, it's typical of what happens to...
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Forum: Stud
11-27-2002, 05:20 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 83
Re: $1-$2 hand on Paradise
Because of the goofy structure and low limit, raising to thin the field on third street rarely works in Paradise 1-2 games. So if you do raise, do so because you think making the pot bigger is to...
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Forum: Stud
11-26-2002, 05:02 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 121
Re: Greetings,Players! 6th Str. Dilemma..Hmmm
Call it down. I can't believe anyone would seriously consider folding a made flush vs an opponent about whom you know nothing except his age. A fold has to be right about four times out of five to...
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