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Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 04:12 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

Ofcourse!!!!! thanks jba, couldnt see the wood for the trees. I appreciate all your help on this one. Have another think about the EV and PM me if you like.

Bingo
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 03:33 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

Yip, I hit that one too....but it breaks down >50% chance.

Bingo
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 02:52 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

I take your point, but yes, I do want to count my bet, as well as their call(s). Its not my money once its gone into the pot. Lets say I have a 25% chance to hit my outs on the turn. Clearly, in a...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 02:18 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Im trying to make a bet that results in the bet being the identical % of the resultant pot (with n callers) to the % chance of me hitting my outs on the next card.


[/...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 12:12 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

[ QUOTE ]


or, if you do not include the max bet in the pot size (what you seem to want):

max bet = (pot size)(chance of hitting outs)/(1 - chance of hitting outs)

[/ QUOTE ]

This...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 11:55 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

[ QUOTE ]
I think we are making it harder than it is.......
If you have 5 outs after the flop......
I use my multiplication table, which I've known by memory since grade school.
9*5 outs =45 and...
Forum: Probability 08-01-2005, 11:00 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

Cant anyone do this....maybe Im not as stupid as I thought?

Bingo
Forum: Probability 07-31-2005, 06:17 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

No implied odds, just actual pot odds would be great for now.
Forum: Probability 07-31-2005, 05:01 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

Helpful....

If you could also show my error here for calculating the max bet (X).....

X = 1 + (2*%chance of hitting out)*pot size*% chance of hitting out

Then that would be really helpful as...
Forum: Probability 07-31-2005, 05:48 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 146
Posted By imported_bingobazza
formula for calling bets based on outs

Hi guys,

Im a bit of a donk when it comes to maths problems, but Ive been trying to write a formula for the following, assuming we are on the flop

I have 'a' chance of hitting my outs on the...
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