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Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-10-2005, 06:59 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 70
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: 2 all ins with 3 people left

[ QUOTE ]
Say stacks are 5000, 2500, 2500, you think you have a 20% chance to win, you are out of the blinds, and you think you are all about equally skilled.

You win 1 out of 5 right away and 2...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-19-2005, 06:25 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 331
Posted By psparkyuk
Tied again

Tied again at 186 after my vote.

Psparky
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-13-2005, 11:51 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 80
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: What\'s the correct decision (tournament strategy on the bubble)?

[ QUOTE ]
what if sb wins the hand and utg has a better hand than you?

then u get 4th

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes - as I said, thats the only case when folding would gain. But you would still need to...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-13-2005, 11:36 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 80
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: What\'s the correct decision (tournament strategy on the bubble)?

No, that's definitly not right.

I think it was a call with QT. The only time you gain by folding is when SB would win the hand and UTG come second and then you go on to outlast the SB despite him...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-04-2005, 06:55 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 67
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: ITM, there\'s a tiny stack, #2 stack pushes, SNGPT says call with A

A call if he's only pushing 13%?

I think you need to expect to win around 50% of showdowns, but A4o is <40% against that range. You need him to be pushing way more hands (maybe 45%) to get the...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-30-2005, 06:44 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 77
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: ($1.75) (!) Possible collusion?

Maybe the names were automatically generated by the site and have not been personalized yet. I got a name something like these on one site I registered at.

I also think that dumping chips like...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-30-2005, 05:57 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 135
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: STATS: Does anyone have a 100% winning confidence?

You could reach 100% - but you would need to play an infinite number of games.

Now there's a challenge...

Psparky
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-23-2005, 07:15 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 248
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: $11 - 88 on button, makes me wonder about betting impetus

[ QUOTE ]


But if you want to suggest that there is some "solid math" in this thread that proves the former, I would really like to take a closer look.


[/ QUOTE ]
I was refering to the ICM...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-23-2005, 07:08 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 248
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: $11 - 88 on button, makes me wonder about betting impetus

[ QUOTE ]
No it doesnt, cmon sparky are you crazy! Stop practicing your voodoo math in which the chips you win, however small, actually have a monetary value.

I admit I don't know if the chips...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 11:31 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 248
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: $11 - 88 on button, makes me wonder about betting impetus

[ QUOTE ]
ok, yes, it's a 4% increase


but it doesn't add 4% to your roi number (ie doesn't take you from 15-19% roi)...it adds 51 cents in a 10/1 tourney...although that becomes $4.10 in a 109...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-22-2005, 09:39 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 248
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: $11 - 88 on button, makes me wonder about betting impetus

[ QUOTE ]
i used ICM Calculator and it goes from .10 to .1041 w/1000 chip stacks and to .1051 with 800 chip stacks...so only .4 or .5%, not 4 or 5%

[/ QUOTE ]

Going from .10 to .1041 is a...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-16-2005, 07:05 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 77
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: $11 - Crappy AKs on the bubble

[ QUOTE ]
As soon as I raised I thought, "Man, this could suck if he pushes."


[/ QUOTE ]
I wonder (and maybe the above means you do too) if the amount of the raise was wrong. Maybe a min-raise...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-14-2005, 08:51 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 47
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: OT: MTT guys have it easy.

Maybe he thought he had flopped a bicyle /images/graemlins/crazy.gif
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-09-2005, 06:59 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 55
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: Some random bubble/ITM thoughts/math

Hi,

I would just like to offer a few comments on the ICM maths.

The value of your chips in the scenario you describe goes from $287 to $312 to $350, increasing by $25 and $38 as the players are...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 03-18-2005, 10:11 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 46
Posted By psparkyuk
Re: Push or Wait? Analysis of starting hands vs. # hands left ***Repo

Very interesting post - thank-you.

I think there is a minor typo in the table. For 3 hands/4 way I think it should be A3s not A3o.

Regarding the 2-way/4-way issue, I have always thought this...
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