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Forum: Medium Stakes Hold'em 12-16-2005, 05:22 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Forum: Medium Stakes Hold'em 12-16-2005, 05:15 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 18
Posted By willie24
25/50 QQ

7 handed online. Hero is in BB with QQ.

villain is excellent player. LAG shorthanded. TAG fullgame

utg raises. folded to hero who 3bets. utg caps.

flop: 2 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-20-2005, 01:36 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: a 150 hand i forgot about

i agree that this is much better live than online.

i still dont know why you assume that he has a draw or something less than top pair. couldnt this be 2 pr or set or straight?

it costs a lot...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-20-2005, 01:21 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: a 150 hand i forgot about

[ QUOTE ]
would you showdown an unimproved 8, A9, or a ten against an opponent who so far has not gotten out of line?

[/ QUOTE ]

i would rarely raise the turn with an 8 or a9 against a...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-20-2005, 12:57 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: a 150 hand i forgot about

you made this play because you thought you had a strong read on a very abnormal opponent. only you know what made you make this play. its possible you were right.

i cant imagine the opponent i...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-18-2005, 12:36 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: quick hand analysis

uh...bet/call

is this even close?
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-18-2005, 04:03 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: $20/$40 at Borgata

[ QUOTE ]
I see.... so checking the turn is standard 100% of the time here? With an idiot on the button and a loose passive calling station in the hand with me?

[/ QUOTE ]

yes? i feel...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 09-18-2005, 03:29 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 12
Posted By willie24
Re: 30/60 vets: Postflop estimate

a)25
b)5
c)28
d)22

fyi i have no statistical basis for this. i thought the question was fun though.

also i took the question to mean- what is the chance that JJ is good at showdown...
...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 01:17 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: against river check raise

[ QUOTE ]
the pause is slightly more likely...

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 01:14 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: against river check raise

[ QUOTE ]
It is probably better not to have players taking shots at you regularly, since it will be somewhat hard to identify who is doing this and it will give you many harder decisions (read:...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 01:04 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: against river check raise

[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes you're opponents pauses because he's scratching his balls.

[/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ]
or it can mean nothing at all

[/ QUOTE ]

yes
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 12:52 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: against river check raise

[ QUOTE ]
1. Villain may be taking a shot in a heads-up pot. It is much more likely to be a play in this scenario than if it had started, say, 4 handed and only was heads-up at the river

[/...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 12:32 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: against river check raise

this is online. take pause for what it's worth. by long pause i mean about 10 sec
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-12-2005, 12:17 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
against river check raise

assume 5/10 full game with typical, average opponent.


hero open raises from MP with A /images/graemlins/club.gifQ /images/graemlins/club.gif
folded to BB who calls.

flop:
Q...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 07:23 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: value bet river?

it is certainly much closer to 50% than 10%. you are probably right that it is less than 50 though
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 07:20 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By willie24
good

thanks for the responses.

utg2 had JJ and CO had 88, plus river came Q. having not played for over a month this set me on my ear. just needed reassurance that im not losing my mind and this was...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 06:16 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By willie24
Re: 5/10 QQ in BB

not the most intriguing hand in the world i know. im very rusty though and lacking confidence at the moment. just give me a yes/no here
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 06:08 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: The turn is the key

[ QUOTE ]
raising AKo in a hand just like this and better hands folded

[/ QUOTE ]

are you certain that they were better hands? even if not, you successfully protected the best hand, which...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 05:39 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
he's calling with any piece of that board.

[/ QUOTE ]
we all agree with this

[ QUOTE ]
If he had a big ace too i think he would have 3-bet before the flop

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 05:34 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
Bet the turn. You are much more likely to get called by a worse hand there than on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is a good point.

against aggressive players, i see a lot of...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 05:21 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think he'll call you with any hands that you beat

[/ QUOTE ]

certainly, many players will call with a high ace here, which appears to be the most likely hand- since just...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 05:09 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
Re: value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
I doubt he's folding a better hand, so I guess the question you have to ask is how often is he calling with a worse one?

[/ QUOTE ]

that is exactly what i'm asking you
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 05:03 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By willie24
value bet river?

5/10 online. SB is an average player. maybe a tiny bit loose and average in terms of aggression.

folded to hero who raises on button with a /images/graemlins/spade.gif k...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 04:27 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By willie24
5/10 QQ in BB

5/10 online. 9 handed. fairly unknown opponents, just sat down 5 min ago. neither has done anything noticeably crazy in that 5 min, but both appear a little bit loose.

UTG2 raises, CO calls, SB...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 09-01-2005, 02:15 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By willie24
Re: online 2/4 river problem

call. remember when you lose, you lose 2 big bets by raising and when you win you only gain 1 by raising.
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