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Search: Posts Made By: KJL
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-30-2005, 10:04 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 41
Posted By KJL
Re: Almost scary mind reading game....try it

I got a similair e-mail a long time ago. It gave a list of addition problems and asked to think of a color and a tool. 98% of Americans say Red and hammer. The reasing is that the addition problems...
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 08:39 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 13
Posted By KJL
Re: Help me With Pot Odds.

Well, there is $1100 in the pot and you have to call $500. With 56 vs. AK, you have about a 40% chance to win.
So you use the formula:
(amount you can win*chnance of winning)-(amount you can...
Forum: Probability 12-12-2005, 10:27 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By KJL
Re: MATH QUESTION(intersting live hand)

The odds that four opponent are dealt four different pocket pairs is:
C(4,2)/C(52,2)*C(4,2)/C(50,2)*C(4,2)/C(48,2)*C(4,2)/C(46,2)=~.00000000066
The odds that three of those pocket pairs turn into...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-09-2005, 04:54 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By KJL
Re: Fantasy Help - Week 2 Playoffs - Which defense?

Idk thats a tough call but i think Green Bay is the better pick. Both teams could lose but Green Bay should give up less points.
Forum: Home Poker 12-02-2005, 01:37 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 18
Posted By KJL
Re: Another Interesting Home Game situation

Was he last to act. Because in a tournament, you are allowed to expose your cards if no more bets can be made. This would be the case since your all-in and he is last to act. However, even if his...
Forum: Probability 12-01-2005, 08:29 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 14
Posted By KJL
Re: AA vs X

12,585,434,400 games 15.968 secs 788,165,981 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 85.2037 % 84.93% 00.27% { AA }
Hand 2: 14.7963 % ...
Forum: Probability 11-28-2005, 06:27 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 10
Posted By KJL
Re: Recommendation? Who\'s knowledgeable?

pokerstove (http://www.pokerstove.com/) will allow you to put in any hands and see which is favored.
Forum: Probability 11-28-2005, 05:13 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 11
Posted By KJL
Re: Having AQ Vs. QQ and having a Q flop

[ QUOTE ]

to put it briefly, I only have to worry about my opponent having a set of
Queens when I have AQ (or a set of Aces when I have AK) only 6.25% of the time..., right?


[/ QUOTE ] ...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-22-2005, 06:14 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 15
Posted By KJL
Re: Top 6 in the NFL?

[ QUOTE ]
Besides those three games they are allowing 410 yards a game. They are allowing 22 PPG in those 7 games as well.

[/ QUOTE ]
If you take out the San Diego game they are giving up 15...
Forum: Home Poker 11-09-2005, 11:23 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 11
Posted By KJL
Re: Any eight will win!

Was it all-in on the turn. If so why wasn't his hand already exposed?
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-09-2005, 11:08 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 4
Posted By KJL
Re: Extracting with Quads

No, I don't think a push is good here. If he has AK, he probably folds to a push but probably calls this raise. If he has KK or JJ, he'll re-raise anyway.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-09-2005, 10:47 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 4
Posted By KJL
Re: NL100 hand, flopped the nut straight and getting action

I don't see anything wrong with how you played it, you have the nuts and you got a nice pot with it.
Forum: Probability 11-07-2005, 11:29 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By KJL
Re: Odds: Two 4 of a kinds in the same hand

Assuming that one player holds KQ and one player holds 44, the odds of the board reading: 44KKK is 1/C(48,5) or 1/1712304 or about .00006%.
Assuming one player holds 44 and one holds 88, the chance...
Forum: Probability 11-03-2005, 10:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 9
Posted By KJL
Re: Probability question...

I am not sure exactly what you are asking here. If you are asking how many boards in Texas Hold'em make top set the nuts, then it does not matter what size table it is at.
In order for top set to...
Forum: Probability 10-31-2005, 06:45 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By KJL
Re: Interesting stat class question

[ QUOTE ]
I see how Baye's Theorem can be used to solve this. My point is you don't need the new information. The host could have just of easily said choose a door and you do. Instead of showing a...
Forum: Probability 10-29-2005, 10:34 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By KJL
Re: Heads-Up Tournament Question

Sorry, I mis-read the post.
Forum: Probability 10-29-2005, 08:41 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By KJL
Forum: Probability 10-29-2005, 05:55 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By KJL
Re: Interesting stat class question

Search for one of the million threads on Monty Hall.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 10-28-2005, 11:20 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 3
Posted By KJL
Re: AA pf raise gets 6 callers

Well then I probably wouldn't push, I think betting 6.50 is a good idea, but I might bet a little more. You have the nut-flush draw and I can't see a rocky table calling preflop with low spades. If...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 10-28-2005, 10:57 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 3
Posted By KJL
Re: AA pf raise gets 6 callers

What was your stack size? If it was 6.50, I definetly push with the nut draw.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 10-27-2005, 10:03 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 4
Posted By KJL
Re: KK 3 bet pf

I think you could have folded it preflop. A re-re-raise for half his stack, I am pretty sure he has AA. But once you get to the flop, I don't think you can fold it there.
Forum: Probability 10-27-2005, 02:34 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By KJL
Re: combination or permutation??

Yea it seems right but, I think it should b 47C2 instead of 38C2.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 10-24-2005, 07:03 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3
Posted By KJL
AKo hand

I was at a 4 table home tournament the other day when this hand came up.
Very early on, avg stack ~3000 I had ~7500 villian had 1850.
The whole table was playing very loose especially villian. I...
Forum: Probability 10-23-2005, 05:00 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By KJL
Re: AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%?

Yes, AK is just as likely as 67 to pair at least one of its cards.
Forum: Probability 10-20-2005, 10:12 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By KJL
Re: Dumb math question

No, I cannot do this calculation in my head. I am not really sure how to come up with this during a game, besides maybe making it 12/72 24/72 and 36/72 or 1/6 1/3 and 1/2. This would make it easier...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 204

 
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