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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: whipsaw
Forum: Sports Betting 10-31-2005, 10:04 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 173
Posted By whipsaw
Re: good deal on ravens steelers?

Any moneyline over +500 probably has some value to it, although I'm not on that tonight. I'm on the over! /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Sports Betting 10-29-2005, 12:02 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 246
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Taking a Flyer, Want Suggestions

bump so more people can get in on this /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 09:55 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 246
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Taking a Flyer, Want Suggestions

Date placed:
Oct 28, 2005 9:46p 4 Team Parlay #22250850
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
(195) Washington Redskins vs. (196) New York Giants Over 42½ Sun@1:00p



Football - NFL Lines...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 02:20 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 83
Posted By whipsaw
Re: complimentary parlays

If you find them, I wouldn't share them. You're unlikely to get someone to divulge that on here.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 09:34 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 246
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Taking a Flyer, Want Suggestions

How about if we hedge if we're 2-0 going into the Sunday Night game? /images/graemlins/grin.gif /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 09:32 AM
Replies: 102
Views: 500
Posted By whipsaw
Re: SossMan\'s attempt to get weak Week #8 lines for \"3+1\"

$400 - Steelers
$300 - Patriots
$200 - Redskins/Giants over 42
$100 - Cardinals/Cowboys under 40.5
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 09:21 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 246
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Taking a Flyer, Want Suggestions

Alright, I'm in. I've got $10 on this parlay (the 4 teamer). Who else is in on the action?
Forum: Sports Betting 10-27-2005, 10:45 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 263
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Thurs Night NCAA Football

Nice late TD for the cover. Thought I was going to push on -13. Go Tech!!! /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Sports Betting 10-27-2005, 07:50 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 122
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Is there any way i can lose this bet???

Your way is correct, and yields a 54% chance of it hitting. That means that the EV of the bet is (.54 * 41.15) + (.46 * -50.00) which equals -.779, so he's losing about 78 cents making that bet...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-27-2005, 02:29 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 246
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Taking a Flyer, Want Suggestions

5 NFL plays, since you love them so much. I also threw in some games that will be televised everywhere (sun night/monday). This parlay is $$$.

Cowboys/Cardinals Under 40

Under is 4-0 last...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 05:28 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 188
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Would you hedge USC, if you were up on them from pre-season?

[ QUOTE ]
eleventy billion

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow, that's the exact # of units I've lost on baseball this playoffs. /images/graemlins/grin.gif /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[ QUOTE ]
Texas would...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 02:56 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 101
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Best Play in WS Game 4 tonight....

What is Rule #3? And which one is your Tice rule?
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 02:52 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 188
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Would you hedge USC, if you were up on them from pre-season?

[ QUOTE ]
There is real feeling that Texas is the best team in the country.

[/ QUOTE ]

Says who? Both polls with actual people voting have Texas #2 by a substantial margin. Computers have no...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 02:39 PM
Replies: 102
Views: 500
Posted By whipsaw
Re: SossMan\'s attempt to get weak Week #8 lines for \"3+1\"

6000 posts! Nice!
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 02:21 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 188
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Would you hedge USC, if you were up on them from pre-season?

You assume that Texas gets into the Rose Bowl if they win out, which isn't necessarily a lock. If USC, UT, and VaTech all win out, I think UT is the one on the outside looking in due to late season...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 02:18 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 101
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Best Play in WS Game 4 tonight....

I definitely like the OVER in this game. After dealing with Oswalt last night, the Sox will feel like Backe's throwing a beach ball at them at 40 mph. Sox win this one going away and get over the 8.5...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 11:57 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 142
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Help me pick a lock for this week for my suicide pool.

Dallas would be my choice, since they are at home. Tampa Bay is of course another consideration against SFO.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-26-2005, 09:27 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 119
Posted By whipsaw
Re: 2 Great Plays NFL this Sunday...??

I don't know when the stadium opened, but the Broncs are a mediocre 8-9-2 ATS at home since the beginning of the '03-'04 season.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 11:29 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 126
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Scalping/Arbitrage, Middling, and Line Shopping (long)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

3) Middling

There are probably FAR more opportunities for +EV middles than there are opportunities for scalps/arbitrage. But, the problem is knowing a good thing when you...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 10:15 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 275
Posted By whipsaw
Re: World Series Game 3

Oswalt's stuff looks downright average tonight. He did have a couple of good innings though.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 10:12 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 275
Posted By whipsaw
Re: World Series Game 3

[ QUOTE ]
the White Sox will probably come back and win.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 06:03 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 90
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...

I definitely don't like it. You will have to be right almost 97% of the time to be profitable on this play. A quick scan of Oswalt's starts showed that he fell in the 104-106 range five times in his...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 05:55 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 80
Posted By whipsaw
Re: %of Time Tonights World Series Ends in a One run game???

For what it's worth, I do occasionally make this type of play taking the dog ML and the fav RL. I usually like to have a spread of at least 100-120 points before I even consider it (e.g. +150 dog ML...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 05:46 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 80
Posted By whipsaw
Re: %of Time Tonights World Series Ends in a One run game???

I think it's around 30%, given the propensity of these teams to be involved in 1 run games during the regular season. That number might even be a little low because teams will sometimes get tighter...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2005, 04:24 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 80
Posted By whipsaw
Re: Online sportsbooks

Pinnacle and Matchbook IMHO. From there on its personal choice. Anything rated C or higher on SBR.
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