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Forum: Probability 01-18-2005, 07:03 PM
Replies: 93
Views: 511
Posted By slogger
Re: A Microsoft Interview Question (aka basic Bayes\' Theorem)

If he had shot himself, then I would be the winner, and I wouldn't need to guess.

But assuming I had to play on after he shot himself, then I would spin because w/o a spin, I would have a 1-in-2...
Forum: Probability 01-18-2005, 06:50 PM
Replies: 93
Views: 511
Posted By slogger
Re: A Microsoft Interview Question (aka basic Bayes\' Theorem)

I feel like I must be missing something, but I would not spin the chamber again. If I spin the chamber again (assuming that doing so would produce a random result), I will have a 1-in-3 chance of...
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