Forum: Probability
10-19-2005, 02:56 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 84
River Call EV calculation
Is my math correct here?
A=Pot size
B=Bet call size
T=Percent chance of split
W=Percent chance of Win
L=Percent chance of loss
EV=((A/2*T)+(L*-B)+(A*W))-B
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Forum: Probability
10-12-2005, 04:37 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 82
Is the current Powerball drawing +EV
The current jackpot is $240 million. The odds of hitting the jackpot are 146,107,962 to 1. My question is how to calculate the EV or players edge here if there is one. I'm not sure how to factor...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-05-2005, 05:59 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Re: Fade my Picks
Where was your great Atlanta prediction before the game happened genius?
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-05-2005, 01:59 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Re: Fade my Picks
This weeks picks to fade
SEA +3.5
PIT + 3.5
Two team teaser, SF +20.5 and Broncos -.5
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-03-2005, 02:16 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-03-2005, 11:33 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Re: Fade my Picks
The problem is I have no clue how to get better. I have no system, and my gut feeling or stealing someone elses picks is just not getting it done. There are no good books on handicapping and for...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-03-2005, 11:06 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Fade my Picks
What a horrible weekend. Here's what I was on. I think I'll just stick to poker since its something I'm pretty good at. I flat out suck at picking winners.
Titans +7.5
Jets +7
Chiefs -1.5...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-26-2005, 03:30 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 83
money lines comparison
Any good sites like covers.com around that compare the money lines between the books? Most of them seem to compare just the o/u and the spread.
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-26-2005, 03:25 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 133
Re: SF at AZ
I just think its lame that the 25 Cardinals season ticket holders are getting screwed out of a game.
Well, Mexico is the rapidly becoming the 51st state so I guess its not too far off.
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-26-2005, 03:08 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 133
SF at AZ
Why are they playing a regular season game in Mexico City?
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-25-2005, 12:03 AM
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Replies: 22
Views: 170
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-21-2005, 10:02 AM
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Replies: 28
Views: 185
Re: Free Money: Denver/KC under 49
The Chiefs D has been pretty stingy in points allowed per game so far (8th in NFL) Meanwhile Denver's O has been misfiring on all cylinders up to this point. The game is in Denver though where they...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-19-2005, 12:00 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 83
Re: Really bad start to the NFL season
I would say part of your problem is you're making too many bets. If you're just learning, why have so much action? Seems like you're playing into the books hands. I would focus in on one or two...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-18-2005, 08:31 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 83
Software to track wagers
What do you guys use to track your wagers? Just and excel spreadsheet or is there something better? Thanks.
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-18-2005, 02:04 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 132
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-14-2005, 06:05 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 121
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
08-12-2005, 11:35 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 33
1/2 full or .5/1 6-max next
I'm beating the .5/1 full game at party for around 4.8 BB/100 over 15000 hands. While I know this isn't a lot of hands I'm fairly confident I'm beating this game. Is the next logical step 1/2 full...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
08-03-2005, 10:14 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 71
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
08-03-2005, 09:15 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 71
Re: A Cry for help and a question...
There are a lot of hands he could still be ahead of here. I guess if he has a good read on villain he can lay this down but this board has numerous draws. I would at least call the flop bet, check...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
08-02-2005, 05:15 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 71
Re: A Cry for help and a question...
I pulled one of your hand histories from your database
PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Preflop: Hero is BB with...
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Forum: Internet Gambling
08-01-2005, 11:18 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 19
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Forum: Internet Gambling
08-01-2005, 10:53 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 19
Absolute 6-max and Bison\'s converter
Is there a secret to getting this to work? When I use it this is what I get
Absolute Poker (0 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Preflop: is ...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
07-29-2005, 12:10 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 58
Re: KK HU OOP, call down or fold?
I think the combination of your hand still being good and lack of a solid read on this opponent dictates a call down here. Even if the worst case is true and he has a straight or a set you do have a...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-28-2005, 10:03 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 46
Re: river
You defintely call this for one bet. You'd would have to be psychic to know to fold here getting 14-1. Let me guess, he turns over AT for the 3 outer?
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-28-2005, 10:01 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 68
Re: Turn semi-bluff w/ an all-in
I like the raise. If he had a real hand he would probably check raise you. Even if you are behind you have a lot of outs to suck out.
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