Forum: Sports Betting
12-13-2005, 03:42 AM
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Replies: 14
Views: 136
Re: Fade the Colts the rest of the season?
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I won't argue that Indy is at all counterfeit, but keep in mind they have played probably the easiest schedule in the NFL so far.
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That's a valid point. But they've...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-12-2005, 03:49 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 136
Re: Fade the Colts the rest of the season?
I don't think it's ever smart to fade the great teams, much less the hands down best team in the league, unless you think that both the lines are inflated and the team is somewhat counterfeit.
I...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-08-2005, 03:10 PM
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Replies: 67
Views: 528
Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
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I totally disagree with this statement. The mathematical edge of sports juice or slot machines or craps etc is virtually guaranteed. Once you start taking sides in sports wagers you are...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-07-2005, 07:47 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 210
Re: Colts 6.5 teaser??
If there were ever a year to tease 2 road favorites, I guess this is it, though I still don't like it. If it makes you happy, do it, but you should be able to find a better line on NYG.
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-07-2005, 06:14 PM
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Replies: 67
Views: 528
Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
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1) The linesmakers, more or less, have done a very bad job evaluating teams this year.
2) While the talent differences always exist even between high-mid tier and low-mid tier teams,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-07-2005, 04:43 PM
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Replies: 67
Views: 528
Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
(Sorry for the length here, I just started rambling)
There seems to be a more clearcut division between the haves and havenots among NFL teams this year. Of course, there have always been good...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-06-2005, 11:24 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 272
Re: Explain something to me regarding Juice....
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Are you claiming that you saw a book charging -130 on BOTH sides of a spread? I don't think it is possible you saw this.
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No, I don't think he's saying this. I think...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-05-2005, 12:39 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 180
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-05-2005, 12:16 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 197
Re: Middle for Mon. night - HURRY ! ! !
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How would you middle the line he has listed?
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It's not really a middle, it's an arbitrage, but sometimes those terms are used interchangeably.
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Forum: Sporting Events
12-03-2005, 03:04 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 201
Re: The Legend of Touchdown Tommy Vardell
You're questioning the football wisdom of Bill Belichick?
It does look like a wierd pick now, but you can make those claims about so many draft picks, looking back.
You brush over the 20 TDs,...
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Forum: Sporting Events
12-03-2005, 02:00 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 114
Re: LenDale White
He'll probably stay, which should give him a good make-or-break showcase opportunity. Probably a first-rounder, and might indeed end up being a better NFL back than Bush- a flip-flop that's happened...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 07:57 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 208
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 07:49 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 236
Re: SC v LA
I don't like buying the half point on a 21 point spread. And I don't like betting against USC (and there's no way they're letting up if they get a big lead). I heard the public is all over UCLA in...
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Forum: Sporting Events
12-02-2005, 07:38 PM
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Replies: 22
Views: 532
Re: I want to see if this is possible
What if there was a playoff this year? It's clear that USC and Texas are 1 and 2 this year - if a playoff was in place, either of those teams could lose, and then your national championship game...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 03:17 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 194
Re: Heisman Trophy
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Isn't Vince Young a pretty good value here, if the East Coast voters split the USC guys?
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This was a factor around midseason, but as others have pointed out, Bush is now...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 03:23 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 200
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Forum: Sporting Events
11-28-2005, 11:25 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 150
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2005, 11:01 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 197
Re: Indy/Pitt Under
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I'm hedging on this game. I like the over, so I've got Over 47 (-111), one unit. If that doesn't come through, though, I think that Pittsburgh has a very good chance ot win outright, so...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2005, 01:34 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 229
Re: 2 Questions - 1 dumb
Special team/defensive touchdowns are relatively uncommon; they're not "alert the media" events but I'm guessing that less than two games per week - on average - have one.
Bad guess.
If I'm...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2005, 01:19 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 95
Re: advise on middle please
You're not even talking about an even money bet here, right? Why did you put NYG in the teaser if you don't like them at +14.5?
Pinny has SEA -10.5 at +228 now, so that might be an okay...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-26-2005, 01:00 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 90
Re: Florida -4 v Florida State POTW#13
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However, FSU's offense has looked pathetic in tough road environs...see losses to BC, Virginia, and Clemson.
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They won the BC game.
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Forum: Sporting Events
11-25-2005, 07:07 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 108
Re: Gary Thorne
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Anyone watching this Texas/A&M game? Can Gary Thorne yell on every play? When did he become the white Gus Johnson?
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He's always done that. I thought he was relatively...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-25-2005, 06:30 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 175
Re: Thanksgiving Teaser
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Actually, in fact, all the sites I use have a loss and a tie is a push
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Then, what does a loss and a win count as? Am I missing something?
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-25-2005, 06:14 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 139
Re: NBA moneyline questions (and another)
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In fact, for a +3 -110 NFL dog the equivalent ML is +129; they are the exact same lines.
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While this is a good guideline for assessing value, I think it's wrong to say...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-25-2005, 04:25 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 175
Re: Thanksgiving Teaser
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Does a loss and tie count as a push?
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When is this ever the case with a teaser?
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