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Forum: Internet Gambling 12-31-2005, 07:40 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 13
Posted By pzhon
Re: William Hill Buy in Problem, Solution.

You probably checked "always buy in for the maximum" at some point. I think if you do this in the William Hill casino, it assumes you want to do this at the poker tables, which is stupid.

Go to...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-31-2005, 12:21 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 60
Posted By pzhon
Re: Question on Behavior in Tournament Play

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
it is perfectly reasonable to make a protection bet into the sidepot without feeling you are a favorite over the player who is all-in, or a favorite when you are called.

[/...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-29-2005, 08:29 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 60
Posted By pzhon
Re: Question on Behavior in Tournament Play

[ QUOTE ]
unless you have a good hand and you are betting for value, then it is of more value to you, if you lose the hand, but the small stack is eliminated, than if you push X of a hand,

[/...
Forum: Beginners Questions 12-29-2005, 08:39 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 34
Posted By pzhon
Re: Uber aggressive player/ what to do?

You are very frequently letting yourself get pushed off the best hand.

My guess is that you have an irrational fear of getting your money in as an underdog. This is getting in the way of taking...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 07:18 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: buying in short

[ QUOTE ]
using my standard deviation, just shy of 250k hand samples would narrow your win rate to a 3BB/100 range (95% confidence),

[/ QUOTE ]
Your standard deviation appears to be much higher...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-28-2005, 06:46 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 34
Posted By pzhon
Re: Is moving up this way okay?

[ QUOTE ]
If you come across a wad of cash and stash it under your pillow, you're not going to get into any trouble.

[/ QUOTE ]
You probably won't. However, if you plan to break the law and brag...
Forum: Internet Gambling 12-28-2005, 05:37 PM
Replies: 130
Views: 133
Posted By pzhon
Re: Party\'s Scratchoff Promo

[ QUOTE ]
$30, $5, $10, $0.

Rigged. Then again, maybe I should get more than 42 points a day.

[/ QUOTE ]
I doubt it matters. I think the average value is about $15/day, assuming about...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 05:28 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]
Back when Party max buy-in was 50BB, wasn't the generally considered "optimal" win rate for SSNL much lower than it is now?

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't know. I doubt it was only half as much...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 05:12 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: buying in short

[ QUOTE ]

-20k hands is about 480k short of what you'd need to tell if there's any real difference in your winrate when buying in short.

[/ QUOTE ]
There seems to be a folklore about how many...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 03:42 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]
I have always agreed with pzhon that buying short can be the most +EV play, depending on who you are and where you're playing.

[/ QUOTE ]
Thanks. I'd keep saying it even if (or...
Forum: Internet Gambling 12-28-2005, 05:40 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 5
Posted By pzhon
Re: BR for 4-way play

[ QUOTE ]
I've gone on a 450 BB downswing.

Do you want to argue I'm not a winning player?

[/ QUOTE ]
You may play limit better than I do, but I would bet that my win rate when I play $1-$2...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 04:35 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]
Care to explain how a situation can favor a short stack?

[/ QUOTE ]
Here are examples:

If I find that the fish have shallow stacks, and a few good, tough players have deep stacks,...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 04:02 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]

And I'm sure you have the sample size to prove it? 1 or 2 bb/100 over 30,000 hands is very big.

[/ QUOTE ]
You don't think I have enough hands? What's next, will you say that I...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 03:40 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
unfashionable does not mean it is wrong or unprofitable

[/ QUOTE ]
You missed the point. SS is +EV, just less +EV than full stacks.

[/ QUOTE ]
I see you changed your...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 01:50 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I would win a lot more by buying in for $50 at a NL 100 or NL 200 table than I do buying in for $50 at a NL $50 table.

[/ QUOTE ]
Explain please.

[/ QUOTE ]
My win...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-28-2005, 01:45 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 8
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bankroll Requirements

[ QUOTE ]
That said, don't buy in for $50. You want to invest $50, go play NL50, and buy in for full. You'll make a similar or more $$$ at NL50 if that's your buy-in.

[/ QUOTE ]
I would win a...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-27-2005, 07:21 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 34
Posted By pzhon
Re: Is moving up this way okay?

[ QUOTE ]

Just because the card room isnt legal doesnt mean you dont have to pay taxes on winnings from it.

[/ QUOTE ]
Indeed. If you sell cocaine, you owe taxes on your profits. If you...
Forum: Beginners Questions 12-27-2005, 04:59 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 29
Posted By pzhon
Re: Limit vs. No Limit?

[ QUOTE ]
Then I read this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=4279661&an=0&page=0#Post4279661) where the second poster recommended against Limit because he felt NL was...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-27-2005, 04:09 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 23
Posted By pzhon
Re: Bad Players = Hard to Beat????

[ QUOTE ]
The issue about playing with loose-passive players is that making plays against them just doesn't work. To the skilled player it can be like fighting with one hand tied behind your back,...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-27-2005, 03:46 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 38
Posted By pzhon
Re: Position, Is it REALLY that important in some games.

[ QUOTE ]
What I am having problems with is that if we have 3 opponents with each having 22, 33, 44 and I have KK then they have more outs to improve than I do. Any 2, 3, or 4 trips up and beats us...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-26-2005, 02:25 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 38
Posted By pzhon
Re: Position, Is it REALLY that important in some games.

[ QUOTE ]
the players behind me don't fold to my "obvious show of strength", ...showing strength does not matter compared to the possibility that they may hit that third duce on the river.

[/...
Forum: Beginners Questions 12-26-2005, 02:14 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 22
Posted By pzhon
Re: What is a \"shootout\" tournament?

In a normal tournament, you will have a nearly full table of opponents until the final table or two. When players bust out, tables are broken and players are moved to fill the seats.

In a shootout...
Forum: Internet Bonuses 12-26-2005, 01:02 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 14
Posted By pzhon
Re: Finding my Way

I recommend the Cryptologic bonuses. Start with William Hill, which pays GBP 5 (about $9) per table hour at 1-2 or NL 100 for the first 5 table hours of each month. TotalBet and UKBetting have...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-25-2005, 06:13 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 19
Posted By pzhon
Re: Building a bankroll

I think the other people who responded assume you are playing limit, but it sounds like you are playing NL 25.

Your plan of squirreling money away as you win is ok, but not optimal. It will be...
Forum: Probability 12-25-2005, 05:50 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 12
Posted By pzhon
Re: ? about Connect 4

Yes, there is a bit more strategy. Connect 4 is a type of game that fits into what is called Combinatorial Game Theory, and you can use some of the ideas from CGT to describe the endgame.

On the...
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