Forum: Probability
07-15-2005, 01:19 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 128
Re: Worst Omaha 8OB hand
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This isn't hold'em. You don't have to avoid the board's kickers.
If the board is A/images/graemlins/spade.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif...
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Forum: Televised Poker
07-14-2005, 06:59 PM
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Replies: 233
Views: 879
Re: Starts at 6 pm EDT
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robert horrys career average is 7 points per game and 5 rebounds per game. nothing special, he is defiantely overrated
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I prefer to think of Robert Horry as the Reggie...
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Forum: Televised Poker
07-14-2005, 02:39 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 217
Re: Best ME in years??
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paragraphs. for gods sake. paragraphs.
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You're right; that looks a lot worse than I thought it did when previewing. There's some line breaks in there, but there should...
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Forum: Probability
07-14-2005, 02:16 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 130
Re: The stupid 3-doors problem
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I thought this question was put to rest 15 years ago by Marilyn Vos Savant -- google "Marilyn Vos Savant 3 door problem", or look at http://barryispuzzled.com/zmonty.htm
What...
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Forum: Probability
07-14-2005, 02:04 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 128
Re: Worst Omaha 8OB hand
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How do you distribute 9 other omaha hands and 5 cards on board without someone having a pair?
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Board:
Ah Ad Ac Ks Qs
Unused cards: As Kc Kd Kh Qc Qd Qh
Hands: (mix and...
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Forum: Televised Poker
07-14-2005, 01:56 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 217
Re: Best ME in years??
A lot of posts lately have talked about this person or that person winning and how it would be "good for poker" or "bad for poker" based on who it will draw into playing poker. I think that's the...
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Forum: Televised Poker
07-14-2005, 12:52 PM
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Replies: 233
Views: 879
Re: Have you met a MAN named Tiffany?
Actually, I have some extended family where Tiffany is an old family name - for the men. I'll admit, however, that I always wondered why those guys had a girl's name.
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Forum: Probability
07-08-2005, 06:51 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 129
Re: Cheaters in our Midst?
You really need to include your method of selecting hands to be in your results there. Realize that your selection criteria is going to be hammered the hardest to insure that it doesn't introduce...
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Forum: Probability
07-06-2005, 12:59 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 80
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Forum: Probability
06-30-2005, 03:48 PM
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Replies: 35
Views: 306
Re: Which Twin has the Tony?
I disagree with the analogy to the 2 envelope problem. In that case, the apparent paradox, as you've said in a past thread, relates to an incorrect assumption on the probability distribution:
[...
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Forum: Probability
06-30-2005, 12:43 PM
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Replies: 35
Views: 306
Re: Which Twin has the Tony?
It seems your point is "probability only applies to future events; events that have already occurred (such as a girl getting a haircut) cannot have probability assigned to them." This is perhaps...
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Forum: Probability
06-29-2005, 07:30 PM
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Replies: 35
Views: 306
Re: Which Twin has the Tony?
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To be clear on the experiment; The twin girls and their haircuts are fixed. One of them is older. One has the Tony haircut, we just don't know which. The repeatable, random part of the...
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Forum: Televised Poker
06-29-2005, 07:06 PM
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Replies: 37
Views: 216
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-29-2005, 02:24 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 84
Re: Pot odds, raises, and mistakes...
I think it's pretty clear that betting 99 into a 10 pot (or 0!) with that holding is a mistake without pretty unusual specific reads on your opponent (such as willing to go all in on bottom pair, AND...
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-29-2005, 01:00 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 93
Re: Question with Opponents Pot Odds
Actually, the main goal is to make money. Don't get *too* hung up on whether your opponenets have pot odds to call in limit; there's not generally much you can do about it. (In NL, it's your...
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Forum: Probability
06-29-2005, 12:19 PM
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Replies: 35
Views: 306
Re: Which Twin has the Tony?
I have no idea what a Tony haircut is. That said, I don't see any reason why this wouldn't be 50%.
I ran some simulations using 2 doors, an index card that said "Tony Haircut", and my twin...
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Forum: Probability
06-17-2005, 04:23 PM
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Replies: 26
Views: 595
Re: Running It Twice
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I'm sorry, I'm new here, but this makes absolutely no sense.
First, your example of burning 3 cards is both (a) obvious, and (b) irrelevant. In that case, the burned cards are unknown....
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-16-2005, 08:04 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Re: Basic math question
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Thank you for that explanation.
Queery: 1. Based on this figure, what hands should you raise with when it's folded to you in the SB?
Followup: 2. What would the percentage be...
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Forum: Televised Poker
06-16-2005, 07:17 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 158
Re: Trip Report from the WSOP $2000 LHE -- Long
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The Unabomberish young man who spiked a T on me a little while before, Daniel Clegg, says “good luck, sir. You deserve it.”
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Not to hijack this wonderful trip report into...
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Forum: Probability
06-15-2005, 07:39 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 83
Re: Pot odds; raising a draw on the turn
I suppose you could get into a whole discussion on the difference between pot odds and pot equity, and why pot odds apply when you're calling a bet, but pot equity (and related equity values such as...
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Forum: Poker Theory
06-15-2005, 07:11 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 126
Re: Basic math question
By immediate profit they seem to mean that even if you lose all the times you're called, you'll *still* make money. The simple math they did:
X = percent of the time the BB folds and you win
1-X...
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Forum: Televised Poker
06-08-2005, 06:22 PM
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Replies: 34
Views: 249
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-27-2005, 05:53 PM
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Replies: 286
Views: 1,041
Re: Head Up Theory Question
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The $1 ante also deviates from the [0,1] game.
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I disagree. One justification for no folding was "infinite pot"; and the size of the pot never comes into play in any of...
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-27-2005, 04:12 PM
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Replies: 286
Views: 1,041
Re: A note about the folding part
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To answer these questions more easily, just assume that any bluffs be done with a frequency minutely below optimum. Then there is no folding. Most game theory questions can be answered...
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-26-2005, 04:41 AM
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Replies: 286
Views: 1,041
Re: Some Notes for the misinformed
Sure, let's take your strategy at the 1-5 card game. Just to be clear, here's how I interpret your strategy:
Going first:
1: Check/fold
2-4: Check/call
5: Bet/raise forever.
Going...
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