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Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-29-2005, 01:25 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 10
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Tough AA Hand

Bet the turn. He had a pre-flop call with almost any hand. If the flop J hit him he is probably going to try and take the lead and see if you can play back vs top pair. Now a J hits on the turn,...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-29-2005, 01:09 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 25
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Wasting Aces...

You have to capitalize on AAs here. If you are going to play $10 buy ins you are accepting the variance that comes with them.

Yeah you run some risk with two callers, but youre getting 2:1 odds...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-29-2005, 01:00 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 21
Posted By Copernicus
Re: How not to play when it\'s heads ups (complete HU-HH. Long)

Most of the walks came after he was a 4:1 chip dog, which is ok as 1/2 a strategy. Unfortunately he didnt have the other half of the strategy which is to pressure you with all ins with even a...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-27-2005, 07:06 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 17
Posted By Copernicus
Re: A Rebuy ? for Math Majors

BPA..I think the results of your request wouldnt be worth the effort.

Lets say in a freezeout with n runners, a starting stack of S per runner and a buy in (excluding vig) of b, your equity is...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-26-2005, 07:35 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Whats my move?

[ QUOTE ]
What are the antes? I know Stars has antes at this level, but can't be bothered to look it up. It's pretty important, so you should include that information in your post if for some reason...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-26-2005, 04:20 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 4
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Simple push bot question

Given that its close EV wise I think you fold it. The more you push the more likely you are to be called later on, and Id rather save my pushes for when they are more +EV on their merits, and have...
Forum: Probability 12-24-2005, 02:32 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 27
Posted By Copernicus
Re: KK vs. JJ? - I don\'t trust my math.

[ QUOTE ]
Greetings, and I also don't always trust my math. More importantly, I'm often too lazy. I don't know if you're aware of it, but there's a website that has a free poker calculator. In...
Forum: Politics 12-24-2005, 02:24 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 14
Posted By Copernicus
Re: UCLA study concludes left wing bias in media is legit

LMAO. Like a study was really needed to prove that! Next they will study ACLU positions and declare its a left leaning organization.
Forum: Politics 12-24-2005, 02:10 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 67
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Why has there been no repeat of 9/11?

[ QUOTE ]
Jesus christ, i agree with bluffthis.

"Plus the fact that ordinary american heroes like the ones who died in that Pennsylvania field and who stopped the shoe bomber are also stepping up...
Forum: Politics 12-24-2005, 02:07 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 58
Posted By Copernicus
Re: At what point will conservatives admit Bush has gone too far?

[ QUOTE ]
Bush was not as forthcoming in his wiretap admission the other day as he should have been.

http://news.yahoo.com/fc/World/Espionage_and_Intelligence/

So just out of curiousity, at...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-24-2005, 01:56 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What does a "40 buy-in downswing" mean?

[/ QUOTE ]

A 40 buy in downsing means you lost 40 buy ins. For example, $2200 in the $55s.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-24-2005, 01:53 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: hanging on when trying to qualify.

[ QUOTE ]
How many stacks left were shorter than you? That is key informatin to include when posting a satellite hand. If you are short, push the flop. If not, just fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not just...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 10:42 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By Copernicus
Re: good or bad play?

Unless there is a big step up in prize money soon I think this is a call. Get it all in and you are getting around 3:1 on your money, and you should be at least 33% to win the hand, a pretty strong...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 09:38 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Anybody playing?

Forget it lol. Get it all in on the turn As and QS over Qs and Js and he rivers a J.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 09:29 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Anybody playing?

Pokerroom/FCP $50 MTT
Table Karachi TheDominato0 (yeah they screw up duplicate names)
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 02:00 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Cold-Cards

[ QUOTE ]
You may just be a [gasp] losing player. If you've played 20-30 SNG games up to this point and have only cashed in one of them this may be the case.

[/ QUOTE ]

Take out the maybe....
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 12:55 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I dont know how your simulator takes into account the fishy play at low buy in SnGs, but I assure you, 20% ROI is not "crushing the game".

[/ QUOTE ]

The simulator does...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 12:01 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
these were on pokerstars too.. aren't considerably higher roi's possible on stars w/ their better structure and longer tournaments.

[/ QUOTE ]

They are primarily Stars and Doyles...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 11:53 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 3
Posted By Copernicus
Re: Chapter 4 and Levels 1-3

[ QUOTE ]
When I played the 800 chip tourneys I was uber tight early. In the 1000's i'm a bit looser early on. Well if I am interpreting chapter 4 properly, sklansky is saying that this is not wise....
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 04:08 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
He may have run well to hit the 33% but I have ranged from 20% to 40% ROI each month for 14 months of the last 15, with only one month at 10%.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you have...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 04:00 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By Copernicus
Re: What do you tell yourself in a slump?

[ QUOTE ]
I've had a rough December playing different tournaments. I started entering $10 and $20 tournaments and though I don't see that much of a difference in the talent level between a $3 (there...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 03:40 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
20% ROI is not "crushing the game"

[/ QUOTE ]

This is incorrect. I think the number of people with an ROI higher than 20% is very very low.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 01:44 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
This is one of the wrost theards, maybe the wrost, I've ever read on 2+2. Anyone who has ever ran a montecarlo simulator on SNGs knows that even for a SNG player with a 20% ROI (WHICH IS...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 01:37 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
Here is proof this dude doesn't know crap about SNG poker (if his small sample and HORRIBLE bankroll advice weren't enough)....

"Keeping track of every SNG played - I used SNG tracker....
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-21-2005, 10:32 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 22
Posted By Copernicus
Re: building a Tourney bankroll - from pscrew.com

[ QUOTE ]
Yo, I just read that article, and that guy doesn't know his elbow from his [censored]. A 35% ROI at the 22s is impossible longterm. That dude hit a monster heater (if he is even telling...
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