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Search: Posts Made By: set57hike
Forum: Stud 07-05-2005, 03:05 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 172
Posted By set57hike
Re: Advice for beginner stud player

I think you need to play more drawing hands. At the low limits where so many players are seeing 3rd and 4th street, 3 flushes and 3 straights are fantastic. The variance will be tough, as these...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-12-2005, 09:49 PM
Replies: 117
Views: 516
Posted By set57hike
One clear advantage for the short stack

I think one clear structural advantage that a short stack players has over a large stack player is fold equity against as many as n-1 opponents even AFTER the short stack player's all in bet has been...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-12-2005, 09:38 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 49
Posted By set57hike
Is this summary correct?

If I read your other comments correctly, I think you are simply saying that the MEAN outcome (the expected value) doesn't tell us enough. For example, we might care about the variance of an outcome...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-12-2005, 03:19 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 121
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Poker Theory 06-12-2005, 12:18 PM
Replies: 117
Views: 516
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-11-2005, 05:31 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 44
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Stud 06-07-2005, 08:29 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 89
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Stud 06-07-2005, 02:11 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 138
Posted By set57hike
Re: Got to love it when this happens

On a low stakes table, a check is just throwing money away. These people love to see cards and probably won't believe you have trips anyway, let alone quads. Plus, it is incredibly suspicious when a...
Forum: Televised Poker 05-25-2005, 10:21 PM
Replies: 85
Views: 247
Posted By set57hike
Re: \"Official\" Live at the Bike thread (5/25)

Is there anyway they could show the pot sizes?
Forum: Televised Poker 05-23-2005, 01:40 PM
Replies: 254
Views: 988
Posted By set57hike
Re: A Special One Time Offer!!!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The math is very simple really. Let p be the probability that Daniel wins. Suppose Daniel requires an expectation of +3200 in order to play the 50K/40K offer, just as David set...
Forum: Televised Poker 05-23-2005, 09:06 AM
Replies: 254
Views: 988
Posted By set57hike
Re: A Special One Time Offer!!!

The math is very simple really. Let p be the probability that Daniel wins. Suppose Daniel requires an expectation of +3200 in order to play the 50K/40K offer, just as David set as his arbitrary...
Forum: Televised Poker 05-22-2005, 09:48 PM
Replies: 254
Views: 988
Posted By set57hike
Re: A Special One Time Offer!!!

This is not correct. I'll assume the 50K/40K offer. Suppose Daniel N. requires the same +$3200 expectation that David requires. In that case, Daniel would have to win more than 59% for this to be...
Forum: Televised Poker 05-22-2005, 09:33 PM
Replies: 254
Views: 988
Posted By set57hike
Re: A Special One Time Offer!!!

This is ridiculous.

Let's suppose Bill Gates made the same type of calculation. Let's say that Bill Gates would demand $498,000 to sit in a chair for 5 hours (this is in line with a very low...
Forum: Stud 03-24-2005, 01:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 82
Posted By set57hike
Re: Are any of you guys a \"cooler\"

As the players move around the tables, it is unlikely that loose players will keep on replacing the loose players that leave. The result is that the table average will slide back down.

In fact,...
Forum: Probability 03-12-2005, 12:02 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 87
Posted By set57hike
Thanks for the replies

It appears that the interest level is pretty low and/or people really don't value this type of education. Thanks to those who answered the poll.
Forum: Internet Gambling 03-11-2005, 05:30 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 16
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Probability 03-11-2005, 12:06 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 87
Posted By set57hike
Re: Would you be interested in a weekend workshop on poker theory?

If there were enough interest... sure. I've never been across the Atlantic Ocean. But realistically, I'm located in the United States.
Forum: Probability 03-10-2005, 01:12 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 87
Posted By set57hike
Would you be interested in a weekend workshop on poker theory?

Would you be interested in an intense series of weekend workshops covering basic and intermediate concepts from probability, statistics, Monte Carlo simulation, and game theory using examples from...
Forum: Internet Gambling 03-06-2005, 04:50 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 19
Posted By set57hike
Forum: Internet Gambling 03-02-2005, 12:45 PM
Replies: 83
Views: 264
Posted By set57hike
Re: party has 1000 nl now....

I just watched someone win $6000 in an hour playing $1000 NL. He is now sitting at a table with a $10,000 stack.

Wow..... just wow.....
Forum: Probability 02-22-2005, 12:50 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 86
Posted By set57hike
Re: Adaptation to Monty Hall Problem

P(Right|Monty says stay)=(2/9)/(4/9)=1/2
P(Wrong|Monty says stay)=(2/9)/(4/9)=1/2

P(Right|Monty says nothing)=(1/9)/(5/9)=1/5
P(Wrong|Monty says nothing)=(4/9)/(5/9)=4/5

Should we change our...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-21-2005, 05:52 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 88
Posted By set57hike
Re: LUCK vs SKILL????

Just for the record, "regression to the mean" is a common concept from statistics.
Forum: Psychology 02-17-2005, 03:33 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 151
Posted By set57hike
Update

I took a couple of days off, but regained some confidence and tried again. I mostly played 3/6 and now I'm back to within 10-20BB of my all-time high. Thanks for responding to my self-indulgent...
Forum: Psychology 02-12-2005, 09:23 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 151
Posted By set57hike
Thanks

After losing more on Friday, I've decided to quit. Thanks for the suggestions.
Forum: Psychology 02-11-2005, 01:50 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 151
Posted By set57hike
Lucky run as a beginner ... when is it time to quit?

I never played poker before, but I got interested in 7 card stud from watching a colleague play. I lost about 200BB playing $.5/$1 tables and decided to quit. I played terribly. However, the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 29

 
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