Forum: Probability
08-13-2005, 04:15 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 111
Re: Casino odds
umm... well... what kind of games are being offered? and on table games what kind of rake is being taken?
these are pretty important to the consideration of the answer, at least as far as i can...
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Forum: Probability
08-11-2005, 03:16 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 143
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Forum: Probability
08-07-2005, 12:35 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 113
Re: Multiple Flush Draw Possibilities
i don't know where the post is (a search would find it) but it was determined that, on a 4-6 person table, the probability that at least two people have a flush (using both hole cards) by the river...
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Forum: Probability
08-06-2005, 08:43 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 129
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Forum: Poker Theory
08-06-2005, 08:25 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 244
Re: There is an amazing tendency to confuse
ohnonotthat wrote:
[ QUOTE ]
Re the math - I add this since I didn't see it in any of the other posts and there are some who don't know how to calculate it - this one is easy.
[/ QUOTE ]
...
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Forum: Probability
08-06-2005, 08:20 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 182
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave
[ QUOTE ]
People will call with lesser hands.
[/ QUOTE ]
look, i'm not arguing whether the strategy "in general" is a good one...
read the damn original post, will ya? i've now actually...
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Forum: Probability
08-06-2005, 08:13 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 618
Re: reliability (no poker content)
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i think uuDevil is on the right track... I simply used the Poisson formula, and got a bit different number, with the probability being ~.0081, resulting in about 23.9, so 24... basically...
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Forum: Probability
08-04-2005, 01:15 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 182
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave
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Interesting. Heres's a quick and dirty analysis.
A premium hand, AA-JJ,AKs,AK is dealt about 3 times per 100 hands. So you would expect somebody to have one at about one of every...
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Forum: Probability
08-04-2005, 05:28 AM
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Replies: 16
Views: 182
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i'm just gonna take a real quick stab at this... and this is for posting on the BB, and assuming an average (on a six person table) of 1.5 limpers... also assuming players will...
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Forum: Probability
08-04-2005, 05:20 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 137
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Forum: Probability
08-04-2005, 05:00 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 618
Re: reliability (no poker content)
i think uuDevil is on the right track... I simply used the Poisson formula, and got a bit different number, with the probability being ~.0081, resulting in about 23.9, so 24... basically the same...
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Forum: Probability
08-04-2005, 04:25 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 107
Re: % within x SDs of mean question
in a standard normal distribution with a mean of zero,
1 SD: .3413 or +/- 1 SD: .6426
2 SD: .4772 or +/- 2 SD: .9544
3 SD: .4987 or +/- 3 SD: .9974
As an additional note, that's...
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Forum: Probability
08-03-2005, 01:57 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 94
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Forum: Probability
08-03-2005, 01:54 AM
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Replies: 16
Views: 182
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave
i'm just gonna take a real quick stab at this... and this is for posting on the BB, and assuming an average (on a six person table) of 1.5 limpers... also assuming players will only call with the...
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Forum: Beginners Questions
08-03-2005, 01:35 AM
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Replies: 28
Views: 131
Re: Holdem is easy.
utmt40: oh god... oh god... i've seen and been a part of some crazy [censored], even stuff with less probability of happening... but man... that's just sick... my sincere condolences...
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Forum: Poker Theory
08-03-2005, 01:23 AM
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Replies: 30
Views: 244
Re: Longest Run without AA or KK
Firstly, "guestimate" is a horrible, horrible word in any context... /images/graemlins/smirk.gif
As for you run of cards, mathematically, it's extraordinarily unlikely that such a run can last so...
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Forum: Probability
08-02-2005, 11:13 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 140
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Forum: Probability
08-02-2005, 08:25 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 182
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Forum: Probability
08-02-2005, 07:43 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 103
Re: Odds of going 200 hands....
[ QUOTE ]
odd you both got the exact same answer but posted at different times
[/ QUOTE ]
at least they both got it right, though!! /images/graemlins/grin.gif
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Forum: Probability
08-02-2005, 07:40 AM
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Replies: 8
Views: 102
Re: Odds question
i'm tired and don't feel like reworking the calculation, BUT...
from what i just ran real quick, assuming 4 players and no four-card flushes, the probability that at least two players having a...
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Forum: Probability
07-16-2005, 02:25 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 298
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Forum: Probability
04-16-2005, 09:06 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 129
Re: behind the glory: hand rankings
subfallen, yes you missed the entire question...
siegmund, i kind of see what you're saying, but at the same time, i don't understand what you mean when you say that certain methods over- or...
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Forum: Probability
04-15-2005, 02:09 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 129
behind the glory: hand rankings
so i understand that certain starting hands are better than others, but how is this determined (and supported) mathematically?
forget that it just is, but why is AA better than other hands?
...
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Forum: Probability
04-15-2005, 01:35 AM
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Replies: 34
Views: 255
Re: you are right
[ QUOTE ]
Almost there. What are the odds? Not the probability [percent of times it will happen] – what are the odds?
[/ QUOTE ]
what are the odds that no matter what anyone responds...
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Forum: Probability
04-14-2005, 12:50 AM
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Replies: 34
Views: 255
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