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Search: Posts Made By: DeucesUp
Forum: Sports Betting 12-24-2005, 05:30 AM
Replies: 73
Views: 7,526
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Browns
$300 Bears/Packers OVER
$200 Falcons/Bucs OVER
$100 Bills
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 03:08 AM
Replies: 76
Views: 3,877
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Bucs/Pats OVER
$300 Bills
$200 Lions
$100 Cowboys
Forum: Sports Betting 12-12-2005, 05:42 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 307
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Fade the Colts the rest of the season?

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think it's ever smart to fade the great teams, much less the hands down best team in the league, unless you think that both the lines are inflated and the team is somewhat...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-09-2005, 06:36 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 3,316
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: My picks -CORRECTION

Sorry EZ, I promised myself I'd never update my picks because compiling them has to be a big pain w/o a bunch of corrections but I just realized that the NYG/Phil game is AT Phil. The 8-9 pts...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-09-2005, 05:04 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 3,316
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Redskins
$300 Lions
$200 Ravens
$100 Bears
Forum: Sports Betting 12-08-2005, 06:08 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 115
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Newbie: Check my pointspread arb calculation

Better check your terms & conditions because virtually all sportsbook bonus wager requirements are calculated relative to the deposit+bonus.

Thus a 10% bonus with 3X WR for a $30 bonus would have...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-07-2005, 06:10 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 113
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: My mistake

[ QUOTE ]
Still, you're 18-38 for the year if I'm counting correctly. Something needs adjusting.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think it's nearly this bad. On his webpage his YTD record has had an...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-04-2005, 09:00 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,875
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Rams
$300 Browns
$200 Bills/Dolphins OVER
$100 Lions
Forum: Sports Betting 11-23-2005, 05:27 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 1,398
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Cowboys
$300 Bears
$200 Lions
$100 Ravens


I'm 10-16-2 (-$2300) when commenting on my picks,
and 7-1-0 +$1400 when I don't.

I wonder if this counts as a...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-22-2005, 06:44 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 127
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: $1000 on USC, even, against Texas for the Rose Bowl.

You've got a very +EV bet so there's no reason to reduce your edge by hedging or scalping.

That said, if you're wagering an amount that you're uncomfortable losing (i.e say your buddy is willing...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-21-2005, 07:40 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 130
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: MNF 11/21 total - UNDER (middle opportunity)

I don't have any idea as to the percentages in NCAABB so I can't help you there but, how do you figure you're only risking $125?

Maryland wins by >3 you win $850-$1070 = (-$220)
Gonzaga wins you...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-19-2005, 07:54 PM
Replies: 84
Views: 1,508
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Bears
$300 Saints
$200 Cardinals
$100 49ers
Forum: Sports Betting 11-12-2005, 04:33 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 1,557
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 49ers
$300 Jets
$200 Cowboys
$100 Packers


No more comments from me.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-02-2005, 03:34 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 823
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Seahawks/Cardinals UNDER
$300 Colts/Patriots UNDER
$200 Ravens
$100 Chargers/Jets UNDER



It's a home dog bonanza this week and yet I can't really get excited about any of them. I guess...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 04:32 PM
Replies: 102
Views: 1,056
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Vikings
$300 Titans
$200 49ers
$100 Cardinals




Fun week, so many big dogs and home dogs there's lots of money to be made by the sharp bettor this week ... Wish I knew one.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2005, 12:20 PM
Replies: 107
Views: 617
Posted By DeucesUp
In the interest of accuaracy

Makes no real difference in my overall record but I don't think my week 3, 2-2-0 record was included in the YTD standings. My $400 loss on the week somehow WAS recorded correctly...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-21-2005, 06:29 PM
Replies: 124
Views: 1,166
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Cardinals
$300 49ers
$200 Seahawks
$100 Cowboys/Seahawks UNDER


Cardinals-3 The line has moved to -4 so getting -3 is good value. Might be cheap to take advantage of the line moves, but...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-28-2005, 04:18 AM
Replies: 127
Views: 993
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Seahawks/Redskins OVER
$300 Jets
$200 49ers
$100 Chargers/Patriots UNDER


Seahawks/Redskins OVER36.5. This will likely be a run oriented game, but these are not the inept offenses nor...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-25-2005, 02:37 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 110
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Is it profitable to buy the half point from +7 to +7.5 for a dime?

From what I've read, opinions are mixed and depend on what data you use and exactly how you break it down (i.e. do you base your calculation of the total # of games ending with a 7-pt margin, # of...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-22-2005, 09:46 PM
Replies: 167
Views: 1,174
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Saints/Vikings Under
$300 Giants
$200 Jaguars
$100 Chiefs/Broncos Under



Saints/Vikings Under44 The obvious risk is that Minn O comes out of its funk and uses this game to make a...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-16-2005, 04:27 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 117
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Maximizing EV in a School Survey

[ QUOTE ]
I guess I wasn't very clear in my initial explanation; you need to bet at least $1 on every game.

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh, OK. I'd still try to concentrate your money as much as possible...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-16-2005, 03:51 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 117
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Maximizing EV in a School Survey

<mumble under breath> damn Ivey league brats get all the luck ... <\mumble under breath> /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Well obviously your going to bet all $40 each week and with a max of $5 a...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-15-2005, 02:16 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 109
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: this middle worth it?

This looks like a nice opportunity to me, where did you find these lines?

Rough estimate:
Bet $113 Lions PK
Bet $120 Bears +3

43% Lions win by >3 -- Lose $20 EV=-$8.60
43% Bears win -- Lose...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-14-2005, 03:51 AM
Replies: 177
Views: 1,203
Posted By DeucesUp
My picks

$400 Over Ravens/Titans
$300 Chargers
$200 Texans
$100 Under Vikings/Bengals


-- Over Ravens/Titans. Everyone sees Ravens and think "D" and under. Enough reason for me to go Over. This game...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-11-2005, 02:44 AM
Replies: 196
Views: 1,600
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Official \"3+1 NFL Challenge- 2005\" Week 1 lines

$400 Ravens +3
$300 Falcons +1.5
$200 Bears +6.5
$100 Bills -4

Ravens & Falcons - chance to get playoff caliber teams as home dogs.

Bears - Don't see the Skins scoring many points yet...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 191

 
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