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Search: Posts Made By: maddog2030
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-23-2005, 02:51 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 755
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Scuba_Curtains: AK hand 2

[ QUOTE ]
But arent there other possibilities too...

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, but there's so many of them it would make the analysis way too complicated. I tried to cover the major bases, and using...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 02:29 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 468
Posted By maddog2030
Re: FTOP vs SnG: example.

I did some calculations a while ago. If you're a pretty big winner at whatever limit (>17% ROI), you shouldn't do this. Less than that, it's either around breakeven even or +EV for you to take this....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 01:39 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 468
Posted By maddog2030
Re: FTOP vs SnG: example.

[ QUOTE ]
by FTOP we would be incorrect to fold TT to an open push if we saw their AK, even if all we are getting is 1:1 + blinds. i think the generally accepted rule is to pass on a coin flip...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-22-2005, 01:31 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 468
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Chapter 4 and Levels 1-3

[ QUOTE ]
When I played the 800 chip tourneys I was uber tight early. In the 1000's i'm a bit looser early on. Well if I am interpreting chapter 4 properly, sklansky is saying that this is not wise....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 07:06 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 755
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Scuba_Curtains: AK hand 2

Also, I forgot to mention, I don't even think adding AQ will do much good here in real play, though it probably makes playing this closer to break even with better assumptions.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 06:40 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 585
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Play from the blinds: QJs ($33)

Raise more. Standard.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 04:07 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 213
Posted By maddog2030
Re: $33\'s: Got my @$$ kicked AGAIN last night (5 hands)

Played with a Dr__Jekyll last night, I thought it was you, but I guess not. Good thing too, because he severely misplayed a number of hands IMO.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-20-2005, 04:36 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 755
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Scuba_Curtains: AK hand 2

[ QUOTE ]
Ok, so let's say the EP raiser is precisely this tight. He raises 4BB in level 2 to 120 chips. Folded to you, 165 in the pot and it's 105 more to go.

There are 12 ways for him to hold...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 02:25 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 517
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Why do SNG\'s have less variance?

[ QUOTE ]
Profit/standard deviation was like 50x higher in NL cash games than in SnGs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Umm... those were in SD of BB/100, not buyins.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-16-2005, 04:53 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 772
Posted By maddog2030
Re: ($55) Awkward spot with JJ preflop

If you were somewhat deeper, I think it would be a good spot to minreraise to isolate.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-09-2005, 07:36 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 211
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Moses (Custer) hand #2: Folding TPTK

[ QUOTE ]
You know what questions to ask, but it's not easy to come up with answers.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thinking about the situation is much more valuable than the answer.

[ QUOTE ]
He could...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-09-2005, 05:49 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 211
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Moses (Custer) hand #2: Folding TPTK

[ QUOTE ]
I am puzzled. What did he put him on? TT or 99?

[/ QUOTE ]

Never played a $215, but I'd say his range is obvious and narrow for the majority of players. Just sit and think of what...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-03-2005, 01:31 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 532
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Negreanu should read the STTF

Not sure I like his flop reraise in that hand.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-19-2005, 04:10 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 349
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Calling raises early on with PP to hit sets?

[ QUOTE ]
I agree that many players tend to overrate the profitability of small pairs. Perhaps it has something to do with how we learned to play them in limit cashgames.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-19-2005, 03:57 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 349
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Calling raises early on with PP to hit sets?

[ QUOTE ]
Using the assumption that you will never win a hand except for when you get a set will give you somewhat unrealistic results, especially when there are only two in the hand.

[/ QUOTE ]...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-19-2005, 03:32 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 349
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Calling raises early on with PP to hit sets?

Let me just quickly put this into further perspective by how many additional chips you MUST win on average after you hit your set:

[ QUOTE ]
1. Folded around to the SB, he completes. You check...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-07-2005, 01:23 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 154
Posted By maddog2030
Re: ICM

[ QUOTE ]
I may go have a look at the C++ source now and see if it's more useful. Does anybody wanna sell me a vowel?


[/ QUOTE ]

With that site there is actually a javascript ICM Calculator...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-06-2005, 07:09 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 312
Posted By maddog2030
Re: $109s - A3 Bluff

[ QUOTE ]
You obviously are wishing that he a naked ace of hearts and want to have him throw in an extra t300 in an effort to take down a bigger pot on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think he'd...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-06-2005, 06:57 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 312
Posted By maddog2030
Re: $109s - A3 Bluff

[ QUOTE ]
Incidentally, I don't think your cards are irrelevant. You certainly gain at least a little EV from that fact that he could have a decent hand and you could make two pair/trips to double...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-06-2005, 06:53 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 312
Posted By maddog2030
Re: $109s - A3 Bluff

[ QUOTE ]
I want a call on the turn. Is that mental?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd like it if his hand range was more narrow. As it stands, I don't think such a small bet trying to induce a call from a...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 11-05-2005, 01:33 AM
Replies: 150
Views: 1,123
Posted By maddog2030
Re: OT: GAMBOOL (kinda) on Dalibaby v2.0

11:10am November 10th, Dalidude. Because that was me back in the 80s. Except the Dali part.

Edit: 85% chance his balls drop a month later.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-31-2005, 06:30 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 253
Posted By maddog2030
Re: do u guys use Harringtons\' M value?

[ QUOTE ]
i don't see how sb+bb=bb

[/ QUOTE ]

Perhaps I wasn't clear. My point is that its all relative. Whether you push when you have <10xBB or <6.66M doesn't really matter in a Party SNG,...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-31-2005, 05:01 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 253
Posted By maddog2030
Re: do u guys use Harringtons\' M value?

[ QUOTE ]
M is not the same as thinking in terms of how many bbs you have, as M is sb+bb (+ antes, if applicable)

[/ QUOTE ]

It is the same thing in a nonante game. You're simply adjusting the...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 10-31-2005, 04:52 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 316
Posted By maddog2030
Re: Challenging the basics behind ICM

[ QUOTE ]
ICM works perfectly if assumptions are met. But assumptions are NEVER met.

[/ QUOTE ]

The assumptions are rarely completely correct in any model, but they these models can still...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-22-2005, 03:26 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 164
Posted By maddog2030
Re: you think card player could pick a better girl

[ QUOTE ]
girl #2 is like a 6 or 7

[/ QUOTE ]

You need to get out more.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 305

 
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