Forum: Sports Betting
07-11-2005, 12:50 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
07-07-2005, 04:37 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 88
Re: Statisticaly Significant Results
That makes sense, my college stats classes are coming back to me...So find the STDEV and compare it to a bell curve, if I'm 3+ STDEV's than it is 99% likely I'm a winner in the long run. Between 2-3...
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Forum: Sports Betting
07-07-2005, 03:24 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 88
Statisticaly Significant Results
A Question for those of you with a more analytically bent mind. If I bet a consistent unit over how many wagers would I have to show a total profit and how much of one to tell if I am good at this? ...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-14-2005, 10:45 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 127
Re: San Antonio at Detroit Game 3
All of my betting instincts say DET is the play here, but it's hard to bet them after watching them get blown out twice. I will probably make a small play on them to win the half and game at +100...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-23-2005, 11:00 PM
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Replies: 22
Views: 174
Re: My weekend boxing pick
Appreciate your boxing insights Indiana, I trailed your under pick for a nice profit. /images/graemlins/cool.gif Thanks, Heinz57
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-20-2005, 10:42 AM
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Replies: 8
Views: 101
Re: Very Simple Projected Runs scored Formula
Thank you, I like these types of discussions much better than the typical I'm on these games what do you think of my picks (that no rational was provided for)...I appreciate everyone's input and will...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-19-2005, 12:19 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 101
Re: Very Simple Projected Runs scored Formula
Yeah, I don't think it's strong enough by any means to bet soley on, but I like when my instincts and general feel for a game are confirmed by something mathmatical. I want to start betting more...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-18-2005, 03:16 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 101
Very Simple Projected Runs scored Formula
I am aware this formula for projecting runs scored is not going to be very accurate and that betting games with it would likely cost you money, but as a quick and dirty tool how bad is it?
Note:...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-14-2005, 04:17 AM
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Replies: 20
Views: 172
Re: Sports Betting Stories
That rule really outta be changed about totals simply ridiculous when you think about it. Oh well, I guess it's not gonna change but that really is too bad.
Thanks for all the replies guys good...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-12-2005, 03:36 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 172
Re: Sports Betting Stories
My worst experience thus far was falling in love (I know a big no no remain unattached) with the Houston Rockets. I watched the first game without betting and figured if they could win with a...
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Forum: Sports Betting
05-12-2005, 02:18 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 172
Sports Betting Stories
Just curious if anyone has any tales of increible runs or horrible luck they wanted to share. Maybe there is even a site that has some of these? I've only been betting for about 4 months and would...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-28-2005, 03:02 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 87
NBA Tonight
Is it crazy to think Dallas is going to win tonight? I faded them both games so far and have liked the results, but I wonder if they're gonna play with anger like S.A. last night. I still like HOU...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-28-2005, 02:59 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 87
Re: Regressing to the mean
Heh, certainly not! I'm simply wondering where the balance between current form and the tendency to regress to the mean is. I live in Cleveland and like the White Sox to win the central, unless...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-28-2005, 10:25 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 87
Re: Regressing to the mean
Thanks, yeah you hit the gist of the question thanks for expressing it more clearly. I was just wondering how the to variables played into each other given they point in different directions. A ...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-27-2005, 04:12 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 87
Regressing to the mean
I was thinking about something and wondered what any of you reading think about this. When people use statistics to project outcomes for games they try and use the most current and if that sample is...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-20-2005, 02:30 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 86
Re: Parlays & Teasers
Just curious does the lack of reply's mean no one here plays teasers or parlays or just can't justify them in terms of getting +EV? Thanks, Heinz57
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-19-2005, 03:33 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 114
Re: Betting on the next pope
Made a little put a unit on Ratzinger at +192...Seems like the info out in the public on who was likely was pretty good considering the number of potentials and how quickly Atzinger got bet down.
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-19-2005, 10:38 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 86
Parlays & Teasers
I've heard many people post that teasers and parlays are either a bad play period or only good under rare circumstances. I could see where if your teaser got you through key points in say football...
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Forum: Sports Betting
04-15-2005, 12:23 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 82
Data for Back Testing
Have been reading all of your comments for sometime now and have really appreciated them. (Especially those I tailed fo a profit!) Just started betting sports on this past Superbowl and have...
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