Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Micro-Limits (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=33)
-   -   Pot Odds/Implied Odds Scenario (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=99109)

Aviston 07-01-2004 07:19 PM

Pot Odds/Implied Odds Scenario
 
Ultimate Bet 0.01/0.02 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.01.
BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="666666">2 folds</font>, MP3 calls, CO calls, Hero calls, SB (poster) checks,

Flop: (7 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(7 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP3 calls, <font color="CC3333">CO raises</font>, Hero calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls, MP3 calls.

Alright, whether or not my limping with K-T was smart or not isn't the question here [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. After the flop, facing a bet and a raise I did some odds calculations. At this point, I felt fairly certain that a 9 or a K would give me the winning hand. I only really feared KJ or QT at this point because this table had been doing quite a bit of preflop raising and I didn't think anyone had any really decent hands. I decided to figure on 5 outs (figuring a 9 was good, but a K might be good). This made me a 9:1 dog to complete my hand. I was 99% certain that everyone would call the raise, so the pot was laying me 8.5:1 odds. I decided I'd fold if the turn missed me, so I figured I'd at least get a BB out of each of the remaining players (some might have folded, while some might have stayed until the river). I figured my implied odds were 13.5:1 so I went ahead and called.

So, here are my questions. First, did I figure my pot and implied odds correctly? Second, is dropping a few of my outs due to them perhaps being tainted a correct way of figuring my chances to make a hand? Third, was this the correct play?

tech 07-02-2004 03:54 AM

Re: Pot Odds/Implied Odds Scenario
 
I think your analysis is OK (although I probably count all 3 kings) except for one thing: SB might 3-bet.

Aviston 07-02-2004 04:01 AM

Re: Pot Odds/Implied Odds Scenario
 
Ahh, very very true, I had missed that while playing this hand. Thank you for pointing it out. How should I have factored that into consideration?

chief444 07-02-2004 07:22 AM

Re: Pot Odds/Implied Odds Scenario
 
You definitely do need to consider a 3-bet here, I agree. I think you should also consider that if you catch your straight there is a reasonable chance you will split the pot. Also, the fact that there is a bet and raise in front of you already makes it less likely that your K outs are any good.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:01 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.