Not going to Paris with UB
 

Blinds 100/200, NL, My stack 3000 ( a little under average), first prize worth $15.000 (WPT trip Paris) and four small consolation prizes.

My main opponent (the button) in this hand has me covered, but not by a lot.

I have K8o in BB and 3 callers to me (SB folds).

Flop comes 3-5-8 with 2 spades

I bet the pot (T900) and get raised all in.

I am reasonably sure he has a flush draw, and call.

He had A2 of spades and got there. (Is it correct that with 12 outs he is a little under 50% to win).

Comments on all streets appreciated.

Kim

Re: Not going to Paris with UB
 

He is ahead by +4%

Here is the Twodimes report
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=351716
pokenum -h kh 8d - as 2s -- 3s 5c 8s
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 8s 3s 5c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8d Kh 452 45.66 538 54.34 0 0.00 0.457
As 2s 538 54.34 452 45.66 0 0.00 0.543

Re: Not going to Paris with UB
 

he has 15 outs though, 3 aces, 4 fours and 8 other spades

stoneii