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-   -   PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=397744)

12-13-2005 05:35 PM

PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
Down to 85 players...pays 36...i had lust moved to this table so don't know anythingabout players...but facing a raise and all-in reraise, i opted to fold...was this right play? or would yall have gone all in here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) converter

BB (t2500)
UTG (t8990)
UTG+1 (t2370)
MP1 (t10619)
MP2 (t4130)
MP3 (t6690)
CO (t4966)
Button (t4030)
Hero (t3070)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t600</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to t4966</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: t5866

ZBTHorton 12-13-2005 05:41 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
Insta call. And it's not even close.

dknightx 12-13-2005 05:43 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
are you playing to win, or playing to make 1.5x your buyin? call this ...

tripp0807 12-13-2005 05:45 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
This is really close...it has strength written all over it, but I don't know why he pushed instead of reraising to 1800 or so if he had AA or KK.

You don't have a great stack. Barring reads, I'm probably calling and praying to see MP2 fold and CO show AK.

12-13-2005 05:47 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
my thinking was this...
had it been an all-in without the previous raise, it is defintely an instacall...that reeks over an overbet, obviously, and probably a middle pair...i'll call that instantly...but the all-in that was re-raising an EP raiser...that to me, just smelled too much like AA or KK...AK if i was lucky...decided I would wait and try and find a better time to get my money in...

ZBTHorton 12-13-2005 05:48 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
[ QUOTE ]
my thinking was this...
had it been an all-in without the previous raise, it is defintely an instacall...that reeks over an overbet, obviously, and probably a middle pair...i'll call that instantly...but the all-in that was re-raising an EP raiser...that to me, just smelled too much like AA or KK...AK if i was lucky...decided I would wait and try and find a better time to get my money in...

[/ QUOTE ]

I think personally it reaks of AK WAY WAY more than AA or KK. I call in a micro second. Taking big coin flips like this is what makes the difference between finishing 35th and making the FT.

12-13-2005 06:31 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
is there no argument that he may be further ahead than he thinks. I agree, 2nd all in smells like AK. EP could have raised with AJ, AQ, and he could be in a 60/40 situation. call.

12-13-2005 06:32 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
oh sorry, its a MP raise, not EP....even more likely he may have an ace. insta call. no reason to think first raiser has monster.

yvesaint 12-13-2005 06:33 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Insta call. And it's not even close.

[/ QUOTE ]

12-13-2005 06:57 PM

Re: PS $55...nearing bubble...right laydown?
 
Instacall expecting MP to fold and cutoff to have 99-JJ or AK. In the rare case you run into AA or KK, next tournament.


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