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-   -   Should I bet this river (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=396284)

sk_man 12-11-2005 06:00 PM

Should I bet this river
 
Villian is a little loose PF and very passive. I only had about 35 hands on him at the time, so it's not the strongest read ever.

After the turn, I put him on Ax, Kx or a pocket pair. I haven't done the math yet, but I think I should have bet against a player this passive. I'm a little weak on the river.

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 max, 9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold], Hero raises, 4 folds, Button calls, 2 folds.

Flop: (5.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button calls.

Turn: (3.75 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button calls.

River: (5.75 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero ?

12-11-2005 06:03 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
looks like a b/f. Depends how tricky, if any, villian is

sk_man 12-11-2005 06:10 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
I don't like the bet/fold with as weak a read as I have. I really don't know how tricky he is and the pot would be getting to a decent size at that point, so if I'm betting, I think it's a bet/call.

12-11-2005 06:15 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
if you check, villian is going to bet the flush when he has it, and check when he doesn't. If you bet, he is going to call with a lot of stuff. Need to (value)bet this against a very passive opponent.

detruncate 12-11-2005 06:30 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the bet/fold with as weak a read as I have. I really don't know how tricky he is and the pot would be getting to a decent size at that point, so if I'm betting, I think it's a bet/call.

[/ QUOTE ]

You've got it backwards. Bet/fold by default. Consider alternatives with a read. Our average opponent is too passive. You haven't seen anything that suggests Villain is an exception.

NobodysFreak 12-11-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
I'd bet and be prepared to fold to a raise.

sk_man 12-11-2005 06:54 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
You don't think 1 in 8 or 9 players is tricky enough to bluff this? I think the pot is big enough after a bet and a raise that I should be calling.

PokerSlut 12-11-2005 06:56 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
*grunch*

I would bet, and fold to a raise.

MrWookie47 12-11-2005 08:04 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
Without reading your post, I say yes.

Upon reading your post, the answer is still yes.

DCWildcat 12-11-2005 10:40 PM

Re: Should I bet this river
 
[ QUOTE ]
You don't think 1 in 8 or 9 players is tricky enough to bluff this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Even passive players don't bluff 10% of the time (online at least). Bet/fold is still goot.


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