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-   -   Flopped set, boat on river, how much do you bet? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=384335)

11-23-2005 11:28 PM

Flopped set, boat on river, how much do you bet?
 
Very first hand of 20+2 PP MTT

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG (t1000)
UTG+1 (t1000)
UTG+2 (t1000)
MP1 (t1000)
MP2 (t1000)
MP3 (t1000)
CO (t1000)
Hero (t1000)
SB (t1000)
BB (t1000)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls t15, UTG+1 calls t15, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP3 calls t15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks.

Flop: (t82.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets t75</font>, Hero calls t75, BB folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (t232.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets t55</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t175</font>, MP3 calls t120.

River: (t582.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP3 checks, Hero ?


How much do you bet on this river? Also, lets say you know he has KQ, how much do you bet now?

JeanieJ 11-24-2005 09:37 AM

Re: Flopped set, boat on river, how much do you bet?
 
Raise more on the turn and get your chips in on the river.

grandgnu 11-24-2005 12:08 PM

Re: Flopped set, boat on river, how much do you bet?
 
Hmmmm......he's probably not figuring you for a hand like A/K, since you would have raised.

If Villian is on K/Q, and he figures you for a King as well, then he is likely ahead and will pay you off and might try to "value-bet" against you as well.

So, you're in the quandry of what bet can you make that he'll call. I suppose if he felt good enough about his hand, he would have bet himself.

But, perhaps he's figuring you'll do the betting for him and he's hoping to check-raise (although I suspect he's just in check-call mode)

If you were trying to induce a check-raise, you might bet weak, make it look like an attempt to steal the pot (betting 100-175).

But, I doubt he's check-raising here. So, I would bet somewhere in the 250-350 range and hope to extract some more chips.


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