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-   -   OT: Card Prescience (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=383464)

11-22-2005 04:53 PM

OT: Card Prescience
 
Anyone notice the curious psychology of 'predicting' cards? Is it just our memory of the times we're right that make it weird, or the natural pessimism or optimism when it happens?

e.g. optimism. As smallstack, push 44 on the bubble, 1 caller. turns over AA. "No sweat, here comes a 4", and the turn doth deliver.

e.g. pessimism. Big stack with AA with small stack pushing into you. Sweet! See the 44 "the prick will get a 4 no doubt" and the turn doth deliver.

Hornacek 11-22-2005 04:55 PM

Re: OT: Card Prescience
 
Maybe I'll have Taco Bell for dinner.

citanul 11-22-2005 04:56 PM

Re: OT: Card Prescience
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is it just our memory of the times we're right that make it weird, or the natural pessimism or optimism when it happens?

[/ QUOTE ]

yes

bawcerelli 11-22-2005 05:05 PM

Re: OT: Card Prescience
 
you've been watching too much david blaine.

Irieguy 11-22-2005 06:13 PM

Re: OT: Card Prescience
 
I think it is best explained by special probability, described by Dave Cinch here:

special probability

Dave, of course, stole the idea from me and didn't bother to give me a footnote:

That which we shall not speak of

Irieguy

pineapple888 11-22-2005 06:15 PM

Re: OT: Card Prescience
 
[ QUOTE ]
Maybe I'll have Taco Bell for dinner.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hey, I remember this one time I had Taco Bell!


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