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-   -   Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=382860)

11-21-2005 06:59 PM

Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
Right now, what do you think would be the right/fair odds payout to someone who bets that the Giants miss the playoffs and is correct?

I'm a giants fan and i have friend who is putting me to the test. What do you think are the fair market odds?

11-21-2005 07:31 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
Please, if possible, walk me through the math at how you arrived at your number.

Thanks very much.

stereochild 11-21-2005 08:00 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
ive got giants season tickets, they'll be in the playoffs.

TheRover 11-21-2005 08:03 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa. I'm not sure how to factor in the wildcards. My guess is even odds would be decent. Note the word "guess".

MCS 11-21-2005 08:37 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.

TheRover 11-21-2005 08:55 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.

[/ QUOTE ]

You know, I never really paid attention until you posted that, but NYG +190 (sbu) and Dallas -110 (365) is pretty damn interesting if you were confident that Washington had no shot.

DougOzzzz 11-21-2005 09:51 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.

[/ QUOTE ]

You know, I never really paid attention until you posted that, but NYG +190 (sbu) and Dallas -110 (365) is pretty damn interesting if you were confident that Washington had no shot.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.

tech 11-21-2005 10:14 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
ive got giants season tickets, they'll be in the playoffs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Great point. I never thought of that angle.

tech 11-21-2005 10:18 PM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would bet the limit laying 6.5 to 1 against WAS winning the East. Current odds are closer to 13 to 1 against.

TheRover 11-22-2005 12:37 AM

Re: Odds of NY Giants making the playoffs?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would bet the limit laying 6.5 to 1 against WAS winning the East. Current odds are closer to 13 to 1 against.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the comments. This is by far my weakest point i.r.t sports betting. Does this look OK?

Future Wager 11/21/05 23:28 ET
44.00/83.60 Result: Pending
Odds to win NFC East Championship
New York Giants 12/30/05 (12:00 ET)
19-10

01/01/2006 NFC East
(To Win Division) DAL Cowboys
-110 None To Run
Risk: 60.50 To Win: 55.00

NYG=+$23.10
Dallas=+$11

I didn't want to tie up anymore of my bankroll.


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