Induce Bluff or Value Bet?
 

Bodog 5.50, right at the start.

Everyone's stack is about t1500, and no reads. Blinds 5/10.

I open from EP for t30 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].

Button and SB call.

FLOP(A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img])
Pot = 100

SB checks. I bet 75. Only button calls.

TURN(A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img])
Pot = 250

I bet t175. He calls.

RIVER(A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img])
Pot = t600


What's my play?

Re: Induce Bluff or Value Bet?
 

Who says you have the winning hand right now?

I would check to him and call a small-moderate bet.

Re: Induce Bluff or Value Bet?
 

[ QUOTE ]
Who says you have the winning hand right now?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, I certainly can be beat here, but as I'm not betting to bluff or checking planning to fold to a pot-sized bet, I think I can safely narrow it down to value bet or check to induce a bluff.

Re: Induce Bluff or Value Bet?
 

The beauty of checking in these spots at the lower limits is that many players dont understand bluffing/value betting so they will bet many made hands for you that you are beating and would call your bet. So, there's not as much risk to checking. I'd check.

Re: Induce Bluff or Value Bet?
 

I would check because

If he has no hand that is the only way you will win anymore chips if for him to bluff. If you bet and he has nothing, he folds. If he has a monster and you lead into it and he raises you, that would put you in a very bad spot. I think checking in this spot maximizes value and minimizes losses.