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-   -   LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP! (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=375028)

prop 11-09-2005 02:20 PM

LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
over my first 36k hands 6 tabling 5-10 i won 17k, over my last 11k hands ive lost 10k. before i change my game i would like to know if im just running bad, it seems ther should be some info on statandard win rates for certain hands (aa,kk,jj,aks, etc.) and frequency and win rates from hands in the misc tab on poker tracker (2 pair, set, straight, etc.)

im interested due to the fact that over the last 10k hands i have gotten jj,qq & aks 130 times collectively and am losing money with that group which is impossible no matter how bad you play. i think some baseline numbers here would help us all sleep better at night and not tinker so much in down swings.

11-09-2005 02:43 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
Don't seperate the 17k from the 10k.

prop 11-09-2005 03:08 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
jeeezus f'ing christ!! i understand varience and sample size they have no relation to what im asking here. im asking what the baseline winrates are for certain hands so that in THE SHORT RUN one can see how far off they are. here, let me spell this out for you...if you were in the midst of a 200 bb downswing and you were getting and winning all hands 2pair or better at the baseline rate you would know you were playing bad and leaking chips somewhere BUT if you were getting less of these hands and/or winning at a lower than expected rate with these hands you would need not tinker w/ your game due to the fact tthat your loss could be explained through "bad luck" and not a leak! DO U UNDERSTAND A WORD THAT IS COMING OUT OF MY MOUTH.

Guthrie 11-09-2005 03:38 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
I'd be very interested in the same data. Unfortunately you'll never get it here. Apparently all players here, other than us, believe that if you are on a downswing it's either a) variance, or b) you suck at poker. It can't possibly be a leak that might be fixed with the proper data.

shant 11-09-2005 03:39 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
JESUS EFFING CHRIST LOL

MicroBob 11-09-2005 03:46 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
[ QUOTE ]

jeeezus f'ing christ!! i understand varience

[/ QUOTE ]


you understand it even though you can't spell it?

[ QUOTE ]
DO U UNDERSTAND A WORD THAT IS COMING OUT OF MY MOUTH.

[/ QUOTE ]



I like your strategy of cussing and yelling in efforts to get the very best answer these forums have to offer.
Telling the first to respond to your thread that he is an idiot will certainly encourage the intellectual discussion for which you are striving.

MicroBob 11-09-2005 03:50 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
Since you decided to start a new thread on this, I decided to move my first reply over here:

Quote:
i have gotten jj,qq & aks 130 times collectively and am losing money with that group which is impossible



It is??
I think you have just proven that it is very possible.

shant 11-09-2005 03:51 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
[ QUOTE ]
DO U UNDERSTAND A WORD THAT IS COMING OUT OF MY MOUTH.

[/ QUOTE ]
http://www.smh.com.au/ffximage/2005/...b__200x207.jpg

prop 11-09-2005 04:49 PM

Re: LUCK INDICATORS...PLEASE HELP!
 
he was an idiot and so are you. i dont want to encourage you.

prop 11-09-2005 04:51 PM

thank you guthrie...
 
and others will come around...i have already gotten pm'd and will share my database with 2 others to get a basline rate but we wont share it here.


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