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-   -   This is an easy bet/fold river, right? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=368044)

MisterKing 10-29-2005 08:28 PM

This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
Opponent is your standard 30/5/1 subpar 3/6 player... slowplays when he probably shouldn't, isn't particularly aggressive postflop, and generally isn't too tricky. I haven't posted a hand in a while, so maybe this is so obvious it doesn't deserve discussion, I don't know. Seems to me opponent will check through a lot of hands he'll call with (ex: small pair with a busted spade frush), he will not raise a queen, and if he does raise it likely means top two or better, giving me a safe fold. What's your line, homes?

Party Poker (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
MP2 Posts a blind of $3. UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 checks, Hero raises, CO folds, Button calls two cold, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players, 12.33SB)</font>
BB checks, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, Hero calls, button folds, BB calls.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 6BB)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets, BB calls, UTG folds.

River: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 9.33BB)</font>
BB checks, Hero...

By the way, I'm calling if one of them c/r's me on the turn, and might have raised myself if it was bet to me (folding to a 3-bet), depending on who did the raising (UTG is prone to playing almost any two cards, so I'd have raised a turn bet by him).

10-29-2005 09:02 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
Value bet. He can't have the queen, it's just too unlikely given the action. Fish will often pay you off with hands like 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or worse.

10-29-2005 10:22 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
what do the 3 #s represent in your stats?

MisterKing 10-29-2005 10:43 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
[ QUOTE ]
what do the 3 #s represent in your stats?

[/ QUOTE ]

VP$IP/PFR%/AF-TOT, all derived from pokertracker.

I believe this is the standard formula used to descibe players here in the forum, but I could be wrong.

UCLAseetoK 10-29-2005 10:48 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
Seems like a bet/fold to me.

krimson 10-29-2005 10:58 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
what do the 3 #s represent in your stats?

[/ QUOTE ]

VP$IP/PFR%/AF-TOT, all derived from pokertracker.

I believe this is the standard formula used to descibe players here in the forum, but I could be wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes this is an accepted stat formatting.

I would definitely bet this river. He's likely chasing a high space, and you may get a crying call from an ace high or Ax with a low pair.

10-29-2005 11:31 PM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
uhhhh i know the second one is pre-flop raise % but what are the first and last ones and does the preflop raise % represent the % of raised hands to every hand dealt or the % of raised hands he puts money into preflop???

krimson 10-30-2005 12:22 AM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
voluntarily put $ in pot (a measure how loose they are pre-flop)

aggression factor (how much they bet/raise/fold vs call down)

El Tigre 10-30-2005 01:02 AM

Re: This is an easy bet/fold river, right?
 
yah bet fold this one


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