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-   -   Oswalt Pitch Count... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=365326)

20Five 10-25-2005 05:44 PM

Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
Does this play have any redeeming qaulities?

Oswalt Over 106 Pitches Thrown +115 (bodog internet only, $300 max bet)

Oswalt Under 104 Pitches Thrown +107 (pinny)

So basically losing if he throws 104, 105, or 106 pitches, otherwise winning small.

Is this worthwhile? [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

MyTurn2Raise 10-25-2005 05:57 PM

Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
I like it

whipsaw 10-25-2005 06:03 PM

Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
I definitely don't like it. You will have to be right almost 97% of the time to be profitable on this play. A quick scan of Oswalt's starts showed that he fell in the 104-106 range five times in his thirty-five starts this season. That's 14.xx%. He has also fallen in that range once out of three postseason starts. I don't think you win enough to make this bet.

20Five 10-25-2005 06:10 PM

Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
FWIW heres Oswalts last 10 games pitching counts:

100
110
101
105
97
104
106 playoffs
108 playoffs
118 playoffs

20Five 10-25-2005 06:11 PM

Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
[ QUOTE ]
I definitely don't like it. You will have to be right almost 97% of the time to be profitable on this play. A quick scan of Oswalt's starts showed that he fell in the 104-106 range five times in his thirty-five starts this season. That's 14.xx%. He has also fallen in that range once out of three postseason starts. I don't think you win enough to make this bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

haha you beat me to the punch whip [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] much more dangerous then it seems

MyTurn2Raise 10-25-2005 07:13 PM

Re: Oswalt Pitch Count...
 
I must've misread...I thought 104 and 106 would push on one bet...oh well


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