Party 5/10 HU blind defense AJo
 

Party 5/10 (6-max, 6 handed)

SB is 39/17/.9 after 30 hands or so.

I'm dealt As, Jc in the BB.

4 folds, SB raises, I 3-bet, SB caps.

Flop: [ Td, 9d, 4h ]
SB bets, I call.

Turn: [ Ts ]
SB bets, what is my line???

Re: Party 5/10 HU blind defense AJo
 

Do you have any read on what his capping standards might be? I don't think raising anywhere in this hand is good.

Re: Party 5/10 HU blind defense AJo
 

I might raise the turn for a free showdown and some very small fold equity, but if the SB is smart he shouldn't fall for it, as I would be too likely to raise the flop with my top pair. OTOH I could have been slowplaying my TP and could have been planning to raise the turn if no overcards fell, and the second ten was just lucky. But again, a better player knows I'm less likely to have the ten to begin with when the turn falls.

If I get 3bet I'm out, if he donks the river I'm out. I like raising the turn better than calling down because it costs the same and you have the very small chance of taking down the pot with the worst hand. If he 3bets me with a worse hand then more power to him. I wouldn't give his aggression stats much cred at this miniscule sample size. And I guess I'm too loose to fold the turn. So I'd rather raise than call. Flawed?