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-   -   Odds to chase a full house/quads correct? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=346193)

09-28-2005 01:05 PM

Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
I've been playing limit Omaha 8 at pokerroom to clear a bonus. Anyway, a similar hand came up and I was wondering if I played it right.

Are these pot odds correct? To keep it simple, let's say you flopped top set of Kings but it came all diamonds with no low draw. You figure you need a full house/quads to scoop. On the flop would you need 5.4 to 1 pot odds to chase and 3.4 to 1 on the turn? It seems like at low stakes it usually gives you the correct odds to chase in similar situations like this with so many people in the pot. I just want to make sure I'm playing it correctly.

Mendacious 09-28-2005 02:46 PM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
Yes.. you usually do have odds to call, which is why I like PLO8 much better, because you can force people into calls with much poorer odds.

Webster 09-28-2005 04:00 PM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
But the question is that you are only drawing for 1/2 the hand. What if there is a real good chance somewon will hit the low. Your in a drawing hand for a split? IF you hit you win maybe 1BB - if you lose you lose much more ?????

Mendacious 09-28-2005 04:33 PM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
[ QUOTE ]
with no low draw

[/ QUOTE ]

I assumed this meant no possible low on the board.

Webster 09-28-2005 11:34 PM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
So if there is a low draw this is not a good chase?? right?

lautzutao 09-29-2005 12:34 AM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
Depends on how big the pot is and how many players...you have (6/45 + 9/44) outs to hit your full house if you're willing to see the river, so that's about 2 to 1.

If someone were to pot me with no low and I have top set, I'm calling. I'll always be correct to call unless we're both in the blinds and we're heads up. Unless I did the math wrong:)

09-29-2005 01:11 AM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
Actually, the probabilities are 7/45 and 10/45 (I think you did not count the last K as an out). So have about a 33% chance of hitting a FH or quads by the river.

lautzutao 09-29-2005 01:26 AM

Re: Odds to chase a full house/quads correct?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Actually, the probabilities are 7/45 and 10/45 (I think you did not count the last K as an out). So have about a 33% chance of hitting a FH or quads by the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

Forgot the quad draw:) Yeah, so this makes this even better, about 40%.


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