3 bet this river?
 

My roll has taken quite a thrasing this week playing NL cash games, so I'm grinding it out in greener pastures. My limit game is a little bit rusty, and while I'm confident that I can beat these games fairly easily, I'm still shaky in some spots. Is this a standard 3 bet on the river?

Party Poker 2.00/4.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(9 handed)</font> link

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: (6.00 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: (4.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

River: (7.50 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, Hero...

Re: 3 bet this river?
 

HIt him again, no contest. Your definately winning 33%+ so this is a clear value bet.

JT [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Re: 3 bet this river?
 

If you're winning 33% of the time, how is raising for value?

Re: 3 bet this river?
 

That's what I'm wondering. Either I'm misunderstanding something, or he thought the 3rd guy was tagging along, which he isn't. Should be &gt;50%, si?

Either way I 3-bet it. If he has a set, so be it, but I think he's raising a worse 2pair alot here.

Re: 3 bet this river?
 

[ QUOTE ]
That's what I'm wondering. Either I'm misunderstanding something, or he thought the 3rd guy was tagging along, which he isn't. Should be &gt;50%, si?

Either way I 3-bet it. If he has a set, so be it, but I think he's raising a worse 2pair alot here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually it's 66% of the time, because if you 3-bet and he calls you win 1 bet but if he caps and you can't let it go (which I don't think you can), you lose 2.