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-   -   I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=339464)

benneh 09-18-2005 04:58 PM

I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
Table is playing extremely slow. I am runinng over the table and stealing blinds nearly every hand and havn't faced many reraises in a while. Villain on this hand has probably been the main focus of my bullying, as i've been popping him preflop, taking pots from him on the flop and turn, etc.

Given my stack, reads, and table conditions, would call this? Another important thing to note: I have stolen about 600 thousand in preflop blind steals and pickin up bigger pots on the flop, so this hand is almost like a freeroll.

Not quite 2 to 1, but it's close enough. Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t80000 (4 handed) converter

UTG (t2036952)
Hero (t5919624)
SB (t858024)
BB (t784400)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t240000</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t854024</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t614024.

board removed to get rid of results oriented thinking

Final Pot: t1716048

mrh86 09-18-2005 05:07 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
I'd instacall it with just about any two in that position. I'm guessing he had A-K through A-J.

TomHimself 09-18-2005 05:13 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd instacall it with just about any two in that position. I'm guessing he had A-K through A-J.

[/ QUOTE ]you really confuse me, your the same person that calls with KK because your scared of a A flopping

betgo 09-18-2005 05:13 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
I think you are getting better than 2-1. I call. The chance that you are dominated is not that great and you are only significantly below pot odds against AA-JJ. I don't know how tight this guy is, but he shouldn't need a monster to play back at you 4-handed.

09-18-2005 05:14 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 65.2499 % 64.96% 00.29% { 88+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 2: 34.7501 % 34.46% 00.29% { T9s }


You're a 1.88:1 dog against this range, and the pot's laying you 1.79:1. His range could be tighter, but it also could be looser. As I remember, he seemed to be getting pretty annoyed with you. Considering that this will likely lessen people playing back at you, that it won't hurt your stack much if you lose, and that you've got the chance to knock somebody out, I like the call.

Nh.

betgo 09-18-2005 05:20 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
[ QUOTE ]
and the pot's laying you 1.79:1.

[/ QUOTE ]
I get 1.97:1 pot odds. 61 to call, 85 from the SB, 24 that you have in, 8 from the BB, and 2 from the antes. So 61 to win 119: 1.97:1.

09-18-2005 05:26 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
and the pot's laying you 1.79:1.

[/ QUOTE ]
I get 1.97:1 pot odds. 61 to call, 85 from the SB, 24 that you have in, 8 from the BB, and 2 from the antes. So 61 to win 119: 1.97:1.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Hero calls t614024.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Final Pot: t1716048

[/ QUOTE ]

(t1716048 - t614024)/t614024 = 1.794:1

I discovered at some point that rounding can really screw these things up significantly. I honestly keep windows calculator out while I play now [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

betgo 09-18-2005 05:31 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
That 171K final pot can't be right. There is 171K just fromm hero and SB. What happened to the additional 10K from the BB and antes?

benneh 09-18-2005 05:43 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
final pot is actually 1804048. converter doesn't account for antes, i guess.

mrh86 09-18-2005 05:54 PM

Re: I Instacalled this with bad odds as a 2 to 1 dog
 
You just don't get it Tom. That's all I'll say.


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