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-   -   Weak hand, bet river? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=339105)

teajay 09-17-2005 10:00 PM

Weak hand, bet river?
 
MP2 is 36/14/3.6
UTG is 22/0/0.64 only 40 hands

MP2 raising a lot of hands and looks aggressive I figured I would call his flop bet and re-evaluate the turn. Does anyone think 3rd button w/ BD baby flush draw is a weak call for this flop?

Since he checked behind on the turn I figured over cards are most likely. I was now planning on betting a safe river card. Of course, this card brings 4 to a straight down and an overcard, which may have hit him. This got me thinking, which would be better, check/call, check/fold, bet/fold?

Paradise Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $1.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, MP3 folds, Hero calls, UTG folds.

Turn: (5.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP2 checks.

River: (5.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero ??

aK13 09-17-2005 10:01 PM

Re: Weak hand, bet river?
 
Fold to the flop bet.

I like check/calling the river against this duder.

ArturiusX 09-17-2005 10:03 PM

Re: Weak hand, bet river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to the flop bet.


[/ QUOTE ]

Looking at mp2s range, and the fact it'll be heads up, we can peel here.

aK13 09-17-2005 10:05 PM

Re: Weak hand, bet river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to the flop bet.


[/ QUOTE ]

Looking at mp2s range, and the fact it'll be heads up, we can peel here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Then raising &gt; calling isn't it?

ArturiusX 09-17-2005 10:08 PM

Re: Weak hand, bet river?
 
[ QUOTE ]

Then raising &gt; calling isn't it?

[/ QUOTE ]

mp2s equity can die on the turn, and alternativly ours can sky rocket. We may not have the equity on the flop to raise for value, and getting 3-bet sucks. Even if he calls our raise, a few turn cards really suck.

teajay 09-18-2005 01:00 AM

Results
 
I don't know much of what I was thinking at the time of this. I posted to see what was thought about it.

In retrospect I don't like this bet. It seems to be more of a bluff at the straight, but I doubt this loose opponent would fold if he held a hand. Given the coordinated nature of this board, I don't think this would ever get called by a worst hand.

Paradise Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $1.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, MP3 folds, Hero calls, UTG folds.

Turn: (5.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP2 checks.

River: (5.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: 6.75 BB


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