45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

guy is semi-new. plays typically bad in general but can be irrational. effective stacks 1500.

he opens for 40 from mp, one call, i call on button with 54s blinds out

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he checks, mp checks, I bet 100, he c/r to 200, mp fold, i call.

3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (530)

check, check

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he bets 150, i call.

fim

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

I bet $400 on the turn, and fold to a raise.

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

[ QUOTE ]
I bet $400 on the turn, and fold to a raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

do you think that maximizes profit across his hand range?

fim

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

Well, let me go ahead and assume a hand range here.

Hands that beat us: KK, 44, 55
Hands we beat: AA, QQ-66, AK, KQ, KJ. I don't think I can put him on a flush draw here.

Very few combos beat us, so I'm not too afraid of that...

If we're ahead, AA, AK, KQ and KJ will all probably stick around. QQ-TT might call, depending on the player..., <TT folds.

Since there are more combos of hands that he will likely call down with that we are ahead of than ones that he will c/r (again), I think that this is a good line.

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

I think the way you played it maximizes the hand. Seems like a WA/WB scenario. The way he bet/raised makes this especially likely. Seems likely he's either trying to buy it cheap, or he's got you crushed and he's trying to get action.

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

There's also hands that are behind that will fold to a bet, but bet if checked to, to take into account.

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

[ QUOTE ]
I think the way you played it maximizes the hand. Seems like a WA/WB scenario.

[/ QUOTE ]

He's not necessarily WA. AA/AK are 28% on the turn . Villain could have a flush draw. Is it worth giving a free card?

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

[ QUOTE ]
There's also hands that are behind that will fold to a bet, but bet if checked to, to take into account.

[/ QUOTE ]
True, but I think that the value we get from his decent holdings offsets this.

Re: 45s bottom two pair against a total monkey 5/10
 

Also, total monkeys like to call. They like it a lot.

seems standard n/t
 

fff