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-   -   hand for analysis (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=313448)

the_main 08-12-2005 12:12 AM

hand for analysis
 
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (9 handed) converter

UTG (t17550)
UTG+1 (t20685)
MP1 (t11965)
MP2 (t11080)
Hero (t7880)
CO (t20142)
Button (t1225)
SB (t16178)
BB (t3195)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls t400, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t1200</font>

is this an easy fold?

CardSharpCook 08-12-2005 12:15 AM

Re: hand for analysis
 
um... yeah.

kasey2004 08-12-2005 12:32 AM

Re: hand for analysis
 
[ QUOTE ]
um... yeah.

[/ QUOTE ]

AWLurch 08-12-2005 01:16 AM

Re: hand for analysis
 
Definitely fold here.

Bill Kolter 08-12-2005 01:16 AM

Re: hand for analysis
 
I have to assume you're asking because you're planning on making a straight flush. Let's assume you hope to flop it and examine the math.

You have a one in 4629 chance of hitting it. You would need a pot of $5.5 million to make a $1200 call profitable over the long run.

So just wait until the pot hits $5.5 million pre-flop, then make the $1200 call with confidence.


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