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-   -   2 Prop Bets (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=292332)

Kevin 07-13-2005 08:45 PM

2 Prop Bets
 
As an Indy native and long-suffering Colts fan, I got into a debate with a co-worker last night. As much as I would like to hope otherwise, I think Peyton Manning has hit the peak and there is no upside to last season. He told me that I was crazy, that he only played about a total of 13.5 games last year, sitting out the Denver game as well as half of the Chicago, Detroit, and Houston games.

We made the following 2 wagers. $100 bucks straight up on the over/under of his TD's next year - set at 38 and I took the under. I also offered him 5-1 on a $100 bet for 50 TD's.

We had several pops, so I am wondering where you guys think I will finish on this

Lose the under 38 but win the under 50 for a push?
Lose both bets and be out $600?
Win both and win $200?

Do you think 5-1 was too good of a price to offer on the over 50?


Late in the game last night, after several pops, I offered my buddy $40 for his $50 action on the over at 9.5. Alou was on second with no outs in the 8th. He scored two batters later and I won $10. With no out and a man on second in a 7-2 all-star game, do you think that it was a safe bet? or since it would have cost me $100 ($40 for him plus $60 to pay off the bet), was it borderline ludicrous.

A lot of fun, but too many beers. I am on the line for $600 if PM has another out of this world season, but I guess if he does that well, the Colts will win a bunch of games and I will be all the happier.

Kevin

tech 07-13-2005 09:12 PM

Re: 2 Prop Bets
 
I think your most likely outcome is splitting the two Manning bets.

plus_man 07-14-2005 12:41 AM

Re: 2 Prop Bets
 
If Manning gets hurt will your friend pay up?

Ken_AA 07-14-2005 10:31 PM

Re: 2 Prop Bets
 
Good point on the injury, maybe you can offer him some insurance (if he doesnt throw 15 all bets are off) and you get to knock the 50TD bet down to 4-1 odds.

Ken


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