TPTK meets turn aggression
 

Villain is 23.5/3.35/1.8 after 1700 hands.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (5.75 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets?</font>

Is the raise correct here or too aggressive? And if villain caps (he did), what do I do on the river?

Re: TPTK meets turn aggression
 

UTG check-raising the field is a sign of great strength. Against some players, I can lay this down, and I'll call down against more aggressive players. I wouldn't be 3-betting this turn though.

Re: TPTK meets turn aggression
 

I would not 3-bet this turn....

This is not a C/R semi-bluff to try for a cheap showndown (Villian is OOP) It is a C/R to trap everyone for 2 BBs. Basically it says "I can beat TP". Looks like a slowplayed set 99? or 2 pr. K9?

Having said that, I would call down. You're getting 11.5:1 with 5 outs to 2 pr or trips.


Rich

Re: TPTK meets turn aggression
 

given your stats on villain, the *best* you can hope for here is a split. If you had some real reads on him, you could probably lay this down often. With a pfr of 3.5 he may not raise AKo in EP, but probably will not wait till the turn to c/r a pfr when he hits TP. He'll have a set here the significant majority of the time (probably too tight for K9), but without a good postflop read, I call down.