Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

I have a pretty tight table image so I decided to mix it up and raise 46s. Villain is pretty tight and straightforward. What's the play on the river?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Hero ($688.95)
Button ($2206.9)
SB ($542)
BB ($757.6)
UTG ($634.1)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $3.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $21</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB (poster) calls $18, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($48) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $35</font>, SB calls $35.

Turn: ($118) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $70</font>, SB calls $70.

River: ($258) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $100</font>.

Final Pot: $358

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

looks like a blocking bet from a 9 or TT or something. i want to say raise for value however if he is stubborn with his blind he could easily have you outkicked.

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

that river bet looks TT/JJ blocking. I'd raise to 300

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

if he's stubborn enough to not believe you have his overpair beat and to think you're bluffing this far, let him think you're still bluffing. ALL IN BABY!

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

Sure you have a good hand, but its possible that your beat, and if he truly is a good tight player, he wont pay off any sort of raise and it is possible that he has a set of nines. How does he play his sets? Does he check raise on the flop or turn? Does he lead? If he plays his sets with calls until he leads on river, just call. If you've never seen him take this line, then raise the river, about 300.

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

Since our hero has a pretty tight table image I think you should call. I imagine the villain is folding his trash once he sees that hero means business for sure.

In short, I think raising gives little value as only the better trips will call/may have filled up and reraise you.

I guess you can go with the very tiny raise that was suggested, but even then, I see villain folding unless your beat.

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

I wouldn't even rule out A9 given that this is 5-handed but I think it is something more like TT. Villain is only about 300 behind so I think min-raise him back or push all-in depending on your read, I would guess the min-raise might be higher EV.

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

I agree with everyone else, this looks like an over pair, most likely 10/10 or JJ, or as one poster stated maybe even A9. I would raise to $300.

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

[ QUOTE ]
I agree with everyone else, this looks like an over pair, most likely 10/10 or JJ, or as one poster stated maybe even A9. I would raise to $300.

[/ QUOTE ]
Once you're raising, might as well push? He only has $300 behind, what's the point in raising him $200?

Re: Flopped trips with 46s....River decision
 

I would just call. I think he has 99 and slowplayed it to the river in hopes of you pairing up.